Skip to content
STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
Menu

Marine Engineers and Naval Architects

Design, develop, and evaluate the operation of marine vessels, ship machinery, and related equipment, such as power supply and propulsion systems.

8,250 people do this job in the US. $112,230 a year.

now
4%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 70%
  • 4%
  • 25%
4%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
October 2028

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 70% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 3%. Today's estimate: 4%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 0% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 3% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 4% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 30 tasks from .

TaskKind
Design complete hull and superstructure according to specifications and test data, in conformity with standards of safety, efficiency, and economy.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 13%4.2 work weeks4.2 work days to 3.2 work months0%Half by Apr 2030
Conduct analytical, environmental, operational, or performance studies to develop designs for products, such as marine engines, equipment, and structures.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 12%4.2 work days1.7 work days to 3.3 work weeks0%Half by Nov 2028
Design layout of craft interior, including cargo space, passenger compartments, ladder wells, and elevators.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 11%4.2 work days1 work day to 3.3 work weeks0%Half by Feb 2029
Conduct analyses of ships, such as stability, structural, weight, and vibration analyses.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 7%2.1 work days6.7 h to 2.1 work weeks1%Half by Jun 2028
Establish arrangement of boiler room equipment and propulsion machinery, heating and ventilating systems, refrigeration equipment, piping, and other functional equipment.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 6%1 work week1 work day to 3.3 work weeks0%Half by Mar 2029
Prepare plans, estimates, design and construction schedules, and contract specifications, including any special provisions.Done more than monthly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.4%2.1 work days6.7 h to 1.7 work weeks1%Half by Apr 2028
Oversee construction and testing of prototype in model basin and develop sectional and waterline curves of hull to establish center of gravity, ideal hull form, and buoyancy and stability data.Done yearly or less by most who do it.4%1.7 work weeks3.1 work days to 2.5 work weeksStays with people
Prepare, or direct the preparation of, product or system layouts and detailed drawings and schematics.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 4%1.7 work days3.3 h to 1 work weekStays with people
Prepare technical reports for use by engineering, management, or sales personnel.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%6.7 h2.5 h to 2.1 work days10%Half by Jun 2027
Design and oversee testing, installation, and repair of marine apparatus and equipment.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 4%2.1 work days5 h to 2.1 work weeksStays with people
Study design proposals and specifications to establish basic characteristics of craft, such as size, weight, speed, propulsion, displacement, and draft.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 3%6.7 h3.3 h to 3.1 work days10%Half by Jul 2027
Evaluate performance of craft during dock and sea trials to determine design changes and conformance with national and international standards.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 3%1.7 work days3.3 h to 1.3 work weeksStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).