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Floral Designers

Design, cut, and arrange live, dried, or artificial flowers and foliage.

40,590 people do this job in the US. $37,360 a year.

now
20%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 21%
  • 8%
  • 71%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 21% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 19%. Today's estimate: 20%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 1% within reacho3, April 2025: 4% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 6% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 9% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 9% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 11% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 11% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 19% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 20% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 15 tasks from .

TaskKind
Trim material and arrange bouquets, wreaths, terrariums, and other items, using trimmers, shapers, wire, pins, floral tape, foam, and other materials.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 19%38 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Select flora and foliage for arrangements, working with numerous combinations to synthesize and develop new creations.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 19%50 min17 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Plan arrangement according to client's requirements, using knowledge of design and properties of materials, or select appropriate standard design pattern.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 18%38 min13 min to 1.7 h95%Half by now
Confer with clients regarding price and type of arrangement desired and the date, time, and place of delivery.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 8%17 min8 min to 38 minStays with people
Perform office and retail service duties, such as keeping financial records, serving customers, answering telephones, selling giftware items, and receiving payment.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 8%25 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Deliver arrangements to customers, or oversee employees responsible for deliveries.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 8%29 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Perform general cleaning duties in the store to ensure the shop is clean and tidy.Done daily by most who do it. 4%25 min13 min to 50 minStays with people
Decorate, or supervise the decoration of, buildings, halls, churches, or other facilities for parties, weddings and other occasions.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Wrap and price completed arrangements.Done several times a day by most who do it. 3%8 min4 min to 17 minStays with people
Water plants, and cut, condition, and clean flowers and foliage for storage.Done daily by most who do it. 3%38 min13 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Conduct classes or demonstrations, or train other workers.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 3%1.3 h38 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Unpack stock as it comes into the shop.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 2%25 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.