Skip to content
STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
Menu

Industry group, 4593

Florists

59,310 people work in this industry in the US, at mean pay of $40,310 a year (BLS, May 2025). What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.

now
21%

of the paid hours. Estimate.

$680M

a year: 26 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.

Kinds of work
  • 26%
  • 14%
  • 61%
2%

of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 19% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.

Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.

Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 26% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this industry's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 20%. Today's estimate: 21%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 1% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 2% within reacho3, April 2025: 7% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 9% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 11% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 11% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 13% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 13% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 20% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 21% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

Where the hours are

Jobs by hours within reach now. The 18 largest jobs hold 95% of the people.

PeoplePay here
Floral Designers26,28020%11 million$37K
Retail Salespersons8,19019%3.3 million$33K
Customer Service Representatives1,12064%1.5 million$33K
General and Operations Managers3,09023%1.5 million$63K
Light Truck Drivers6,08011%1.4 million$32K
Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks74078%1.2 million$42K
Office Clerks, General1,01054%1.1 million$35K
Driver/Sales Workers2,42013%629,200$31K
Cashiers1,46019%561,808$32K
First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers88028%516,176$47K
Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive37043%327,850$42K
Counter and Rental Clerks25053%277,160$36K

People: BLS counts for this industry, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this industry, else its mean, else the national median. 34 smaller jobs (2,770 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 98% of the industry's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.

The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028

Across the whole industry, on the chosen pace and reliability.

  1. Plan arrangement according to client's requirements, using knowledge of design and properties of materials, or select appropriate standard design pattern.Floral Designers
    9.6 million hours100% of the task within reach
  2. Order and purchase flowers and supplies from wholesalers and growers.Floral Designers
    1 million hours100% of the task within reach
  3. Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons
    992,386 hours50% of the task within reach
  4. Inform customers about the care, maintenance, and handling of various flowers and foliage, indoor plants, and other items.Floral Designers
    863,666 hours100% of the task within reach
  5. Maintain records, such as vehicle logs, records of cargo, or billing statements, in accordance with regulations.Light Truck Drivers
    607,407 hours100% of the task within reach
  6. Maintain records related to sales.Retail Salespersons
    528,602 hours100% of the task within reach
  7. Inventory stock and requisition new stock.Retail Salespersons
    464,582 hours20% of the task within reach
  8. Direct and coordinate activities of businesses or departments concerned with the production, pricing, sales, or distribution of products.General and Operations Managers
    395,117 hours40% of the task within reach
  9. Set prices or credit terms for goods or services, based on forecasts of customer demand.General and Operations Managers
    377,740 hours100% of the task within reach
  10. Prepare staff work schedules and assign specific duties.General and Operations Managers
    355,911 hours80% of the task within reach

Scan a typical company in this industry

The industry's largest jobs, in the proportions BLS counts across the whole industry, at the pay it pays, run through the company scan. A starting point before you have a roster, or a benchmark for the one you have.

Next to this industry

Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this industry; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works