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Fashion Designers

Design clothing and accessories. Create original designs or adapt fashion trends.

21,450 people do this job in the US. $80,960 a year.

now
15%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 78%
  • 8%
  • 14%
6%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
September 2027

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 78% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 10%. Today's estimate: 15%.

0%5%10%15%20%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 2% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 10% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 15% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 20 tasks from .

TaskKind
Develop a group of products or accessories, and market them through venues such as boutiques or mail-order catalogs.Done more than yearly by most who do it.21%3.1 work days6.7 h to 2.1 work weeks0%Half by Sep 2028
Sketch rough and detailed drawings of apparel or accessories, and write specifications such as color schemes, construction, material types, and accessory requirements.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 15%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h46%Half by Oct 2026
Research the styles and periods of clothing needed for film or theatrical productions.Done several times a day by most who do it.15%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days9%Half by Aug 2027
Design custom clothing and accessories for individuals, retailers, or theatrical, television, or film productions.Done more than yearly by most who do it.12%1.7 work days3.3 h to 1 work week2%Half by Apr 2028
Read scripts and consult directors and other production staff to develop design concepts and plan productions.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.5%6.7 h2.5 h to 2.1 work days10%Half by Jun 2027
Direct and coordinate workers involved in drawing and cutting patterns and constructing samples or finished garments.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%2.5 h50 min to 4.2 hStays with people
Adapt other designers' ideas for the mass market.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h46%Half by Oct 2026
Select materials and production techniques to be used for products.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 3%1.7 h38 min to 4.2 h72%Half by now
Attend fashion shows and review garment magazines and manuals to gather information about fashion trends and consumer preferences.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%2.5 h1.3 h to 6.7 hStays with people
Examine sample garments on and off models, modifying designs to achieve desired effects.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 3%1.3 h38 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Collaborate with other designers to coordinate special products and designs.Done daily by most who do it. 2%1.7 h38 min to 4.2 hStays with people
Draw patterns for articles designed, cut patterns, and cut material according to patterns, using measuring instruments and scissors.Done daily by most who do it.2%3.3 h1.3 h to 1 work dayStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).