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Craft Artists

Create or reproduce handmade objects for sale and exhibition using a variety of techniques, such as welding, weaving, pottery, and needlecraft.

4,580 people do this job in the US. $46,080 a year.

now
13%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 24%
  • 1%
  • 75%
5%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 24% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 10%. Today's estimate: 13%.

0%5%10%15%20%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 1% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 2% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 2% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 3% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 3% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 10% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 13% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 16 tasks from .

TaskKind
Create functional or decorative objects by hand, using a variety of methods and materials.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 37%3.3 h50 min to 2.5 work daysStays with people
Cut, shape, fit, join, mold, or otherwise process materials, using hand tools, power tools, or machinery.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 20%2.5 h25 min to 1.3 work daysStays with people
Select materials for use based on strength, color, texture, balance, weight, size, malleability and other characteristics.Done daily by most who do it. 8%38 min13 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Advertise products and work, using media such as internet advertising and brochures.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 7%1.7 h25 min to 4.2 h57%Half by now
Develop concepts or creative ideas for craft objects.Done more than monthly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.5%1.7 h25 min to 6.7 h43%Half by Nov 2026
Apply finishes to objects being crafted.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 4%50 min13 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Research craft trends, venues, and customer buying patterns to inspire designs and marketing strategies.Done more than monthly by most who do it.4%3.3 h50 min to 6.7 h32%Half by Jan 2027
Create prototypes or models of objects to be crafted.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%3.3 h50 min to 1.7 work daysStays with people
Sketch or draw objects to be crafted.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 2%50 min13 min to 2.5 h79%Half by now
Set specifications for materials, dimensions, and finishes.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 2%38 min17 min to 1.7 h98%Half by now
Plan and attend craft shows to market products.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 2%1.7 work days6.7 h to 3.3 work daysStays with people
Develop product packaging, display, and pricing strategies.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 2%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h46%Half by Oct 2026

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).