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Fine Artists, Including Painters, Sculptors, and Illustrators

Create original artwork using any of a wide variety of media and techniques.

11,220 people do this job in the US. $55,490 a year.

now
8%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 42%
  • 1%
  • 56%
36%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
June 2027

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 42% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 5%. Today's estimate: 8%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 1% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 5% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 8% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 28 tasks from .

TaskKind
Use materials such as pens and ink, watercolors, charcoal, oil, or computer software to create artwork.Done hourly or more by most who do it. AI observed on this task.15%6.7 h1.7 h to 4.2 work daysStays with people
Create sculptures, statues, and other three-dimensional artwork by using abrasives and tools to shape, carve, and fabricate materials such as clay, stone, wood, or metal.Done several times a day by most who do it.15%2.5 work days3.3 h to 3.3 work weeksStays with people
Integrate and develop visual elements, such as line, space, mass, color, and perspective, to produce desired effects, such as the illustration of ideas, emotions, or moods.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.15%5 h2.5 h to 3.1 work days15%Half by Jun 2027
Apply solvents and cleaning agents to clean surfaces of paintings, and to remove accretions, discolorations, and deteriorated varnish.Done daily by most who do it.6%6.7 h1.7 h to 3.3 work daysStays with people
Cut, bend, laminate, arrange, and fasten individual or mixed raw and manufactured materials and products to form works of art.Done more than monthly by most who do it.6%6.7 h1.7 h to 1 work weekStays with people
Create finished art work as decoration, or to elucidate or substitute for spoken or written messages.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.6%6.7 h1.3 h to 4.2 work days5%Half by Apr 2028
Render drawings, illustrations, and sketches of buildings, manufactured products, or models, working from sketches, blueprints, memory, models, or reference materials.Done more than monthly by most who do it.5%5 h50 min to 2.1 work days10%Half by Nov 2027
Submit preliminary or finished artwork or project plans to clients for approval, incorporating changes as necessary.Done more than yearly by most who do it.5%2.5 h25 min to 1 work day25%Half by May 2027
Shade and fill in sketch outlines and backgrounds, using a variety of media such as water colors, markers, and transparent washes, labeling designated colors when necessary.Done more than monthly by most who do it.5%2.5 h50 min to 1 work dayStays with people
Study different techniques to learn how to apply them to artistic endeavors.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 5%3.3 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days28%Half by Feb 2027
Collaborate with engineers, mechanics, and other technical experts as necessary to build and install creations.Done more than yearly by most who do it.3%4.2 h50 min to 1.7 work daysStays with people
Market artwork through brochures, mailings, or Web sites.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 2%3.3 h50 min to 1.3 work days25%Half by Mar 2027

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).