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First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers

Directly supervise and coordinate activities of correctional officers and jailers.

53,380 people do this job in the US. $77,970 a year.

now
18%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 27%
  • 0%
  • 73%
3%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 27% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 14%. Today's estimate: 18%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 2% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 3% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 5% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 5% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 6% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 6% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 14% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 18% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 23 tasks from .

TaskKind
Supervise and direct the work of correctional officers to ensure the safe custody, discipline, and welfare of inmates.Done daily by most who do it. 18%1.7 h25 min to 5 hStays with people
Maintain order, discipline, and security within assigned areas in accordance with relevant rules, regulations, policies, and laws.Done daily by most who do it. 9%50 min25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Monitor behavior of subordinates to ensure alert, courteous, and professional behavior toward inmates, parolees, fellow employees, visitors, and the public.Done daily by most who do it. 7%50 min13 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Develop work or security procedures.Done daily by most who do it. 7%3.3 h50 min to 6.7 h32%Half by Jan 2027
Transfer or transport offenders on foot or by driving vehicles, such as trailers, vans, or buses.Done daily by most who do it. 6%1.7 h25 min to 5 hStays with people
Supervise activities, such as searches, shakedowns, riot control, or institutional tours.Done daily by most who do it. 5%1.7 h38 min to 5 hStays with people
Maintain knowledge of, comply with, and enforce all institutional policies, rules, procedures, and regulations.Done hourly or more by most who do it. AI observed on this task.5%25 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Supervise or provide security for offenders performing tasks, such as construction, maintenance, laundry, food service, or other industrial or agricultural operations.Done daily by most who do it. 5%1.7 h25 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Set up employee work schedules.Done daily by most who do it. 5%1.7 h25 min to 4.2 h57%Half by now
Complete administrative paperwork or supervise the preparation or maintenance of records, forms, or reports.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.5%50 min17 min to 2.5 h87%Half by now
Instruct employees or provide on-the-job training.Done daily by most who do it. 4%50 min25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Supervise or perform searches of inmates or their quarters to locate contraband items.Done daily by most who do it. 3%38 min17 min to 2.5 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).