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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
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Industry group, 6222

Psychiatric and Substance Abuse Hospitals

248,170 people work in this industry in the US, at mean pay of $72,860 a year (BLS, May 2025). What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.

now
25%

of the paid hours. Estimate.

$6.2B

a year: 127 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.

Kinds of work
  • 37%
  • 24%
  • 39%
3%

of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 22% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.

Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.

Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 37% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this industry's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 23%. Today's estimate: 25%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 1% within reacho3, April 2025: 6% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 8% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 12% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 12% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 14% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 14% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 23% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 25% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

Where the hours are

Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 85% of the people.

PeoplePay here
Registered Nurses43,56028%25 million$97K
Mental Health Counselors7,62565%10 million$61K
Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants4,41081%7.4 million$49K
Substance Abuse and Behavioral Disorder Counselors7,62546%7.3 million$61K
Psychiatric Aides14,19017%4.9 million$46K
Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social Workers9,58021%4.2 million$63K
Nurse Practitioners2,90064%3.9 million$149K
Social and Human Service Assistants4,19044%3.8 million$48K
Medical Records Specialists1,85089%3.4 million$48K
Office Clerks, General2,85054%3.2 million$42K
Healthcare Social Workers3,24043%2.9 million$73K
Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses8,37016%2.8 million$64K

People: BLS counts for this industry, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this industry, else its mean, else the national median. 181 smaller jobs (36,500 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 97% of the industry's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.

The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028

Across the whole industry, on the chosen pace and reliability.

  1. Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses
    7.3 million hours60% of the task within reach
  2. Maintain accurate, detailed reports and records.Registered Nurses
    5 million hours100% of the task within reach
  3. Plan or conduct programs to prevent substance abuse, combat social problems, or improve health or counseling services in community.Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social Workers
    4.2 million hours90% of the task within reach
  4. Order, interpret, and evaluate diagnostic tests to identify and assess patient's condition.Registered Nurses
    2.6 million hours100% of the task within reach
  5. Work with individuals, groups, or families to plan or implement programs designed to improve the overall health of communities.Registered Nurses
    2.4 million hours40% of the task within reach
  6. Modify patient treatment plans as indicated by patients' responses and conditions.Registered Nurses
    2.4 million hours100% of the task within reach
  7. Direct or coordinate infection control programs, advising or consulting with specified personnel about necessary precautions.Registered Nurses
    2.3 million hours50% of the task within reach
  8. Assess the needs of individuals, families, or communities, including assessment of individuals' home or work environments, to identify potential health or safety problems.Registered Nurses
    2.3 million hours30% of the task within reach
  9. Work as part of a team that may include psychiatrists, psychologists, psychiatric nurses, or social workers.Psychiatric Aides
    2.2 million hours100% of the task within reach
  10. Perform bookkeeping duties, such as credits or collections, preparing and sending financial statements or bills, and keeping financial records.Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants
    1.8 million hours100% of the task within reach

Scan a typical company in this industry

The industry's largest jobs, in the proportions BLS counts across the whole industry, at the pay it pays, run through the company scan. A starting point before you have a roster, or a benchmark for the one you have.

Next to this industry

Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this industry; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works