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Desktop Publishers

Format typescript and graphic elements using computer software to produce publication-ready material.

3,350 people do this job in the US. $55,290 a year.

now
51%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 92%
  • 7%
  • 1%
46%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 92% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 40%. Today's estimate: 51%.

0%25%50%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 1% within reacho3, April 2025: 4% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 7% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 11% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 11% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 15% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 16% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 40% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 51% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 18 tasks from .

TaskKind
Position text and art elements from a variety of databases in a visually appealing way to design print or web pages, using knowledge of type styles and size and layout patterns.Done hourly or more by most who do it. AI observed on this task.19%2.5 h38 min to 6.7 h38%Half by Dec 2026
Operate desktop publishing software and equipment to design, lay out, and produce camera-ready copy.Done hourly or more by most who do it. AI observed on this task.19%3.3 h50 min to 1.7 work days21%Half by May 2027
Prepare sample layouts for approval, using computer software.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 13%1.7 h25 min to 5 h51%Half by now
Collaborate with graphic artists, editors and writers to produce master copies according to design specifications.Done hourly or more by most who do it.7%1.7 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Edit graphics and photos, using pixel or bitmap editing, airbrushing, masking, or image retouching.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.6%1.7 h25 min to 4.2 h57%Half by now
Enter text into computer keyboard and select the size and style of type, column width, and appropriate spacing for printed materials.Done hourly or more by most who do it. AI observed on this task.6%50 min17 min to 3.3 h78%Half by now
Import text and art elements, such as electronic clip art or electronic files from photographs that have been scanned or produced with a digital camera, using computer software.Done hourly or more by most who do it. AI observed on this task.5%38 min8 min to 1.3 h91%Half by now
Select number of colors and determine color separations.Done daily by most who do it. 4%50 min13 min to 1.7 h90%Half by now
Create special effects such as vignettes, mosaics, and image combining, and add elements such as sound and animation to electronic publications.Done daily by most who do it.3%2.5 h50 min to 5 h55%Half by now
Convert various types of files for printing or for the Internet, using computer software.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.3%50 min13 min to 2.1 h84%Half by now
View monitors for visual representation of work in progress and for instructions and feedback throughout process, making modifications as necessary.Done daily by most who do it. 3%25 min13 min to 1.7 h98%Half by now
Check preliminary and final proofs for errors and make necessary corrections.Done daily by most who do it. 3%38 min13 min to 2.5 h86%Half by now

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.