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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN

Industry group, 3149

Other Textile Product Mills

56,160 people work in this industry in the US, at mean pay of $49,820 a year (BLS, May 2025). What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.

now
24%

of the paid hours. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.

$1.0B

a year: 26 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.

Kinds of work
  • 27%
  • 11%
  • 62%
5%

of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 19% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.

Across the US: 30% within reach now and 36% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.

Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 27% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030
Change assumptionsLong-run pace, four in five

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

What handing the work over would take

For the 47,844 people in jobs so far, 85% of the industry's people; the others are in the totals above and join this split as the review reaches their jobs. Shares of their working time within reach now, at the pace and reliability chosen above. Estimates. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.

16%

about 16 million hours a year. The material can be handed to a model and the result handed back.

9%

about 9.2 million hours a year. The model has to be connected to the system the work lives in.

, not counted
6%

about 6.3 million hours a year. Short enough by length. This site leaves conversation with people, so it is not in the totals.

What their work is made of

  • 18%
  • 10%
  • 7%
  • 5%
  • 60%

Each task's time split among five kinds of doing, judged one task at a time; only documents and systems can count as within reach.

What changes for the people

For the 47,844 people in jobs reviewed task by task so far, by the end of 2028 on the long-run pace at four in five: the shares of their working time, from each job page's own map, weighted by how many people here do that job. It says which parts of the work change, never whether anyone keeps a job. Estimates.

Stays with people
72%

Conversation, in-person and hands-on work.

Becomes checking
19%

Desk work within reach in tasks where a mistake costs something or a licensed person signs.

Handed over
9%

Desk work within reach that is small if wrong, with lighter checks.

What most people here would learn first

How many of them have each skill among the first two things to learn on their job's page. Every state, and the US

  • The hands-on craft32,767 (68%)
  • Reviewing work you did not do yourself15,798 (33%)
  • Briefing a model and checking its drafts10,478 (22%)
  • The conversations5,887 (12%)
  • Running AI inside the business systems4,570 (10%)
  • Judgment where errors are severe2,950 (6%)
  • Dealing with people outside the organization2,320 (5%)
  • Signing off under your license240 (1%)

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this industry's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 16%. Today's estimate: 24%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 1% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 1% within reacho1, December 2024: 1% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 2% within reacho3, April 2025: 5% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 6% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 9% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 9% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 10% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 10% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 16% within reachToday (estimate), November 2026: 24% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

Robots and the physical work

Anthropic rates 62% of the working time of the people in this industry as physical work. For 57% of the working time, a robot has been shown doing most of the task somewhere: 48% in a purpose-built cell, 9% in a structured facility. 0.65 of 3.

  • Not physical 38%
  • No robot shown 6%
  • In a purpose-built cell 48%
  • In a structured facility 9%

Anthropic's rating, not this site's estimate: Claude Opus 5, searching the web, rated each physical O*NET task by the kind of setting in which a robot it could cite (deployed, sold or demonstrated) does most of the task, weighted by its own estimate of each task's share of the time (What work can robots do?, September 30, 2026, data CC BY 4.0; every job ranked). A robot shown somewhere is not a robot in your building: cost, setup and safety decide that. The share within reach on this page still counts no body work. Weighted by the people in each occupation; each job's page names the robot behind each rated task.

Where the hours are

Jobs by hours within reach now. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index. The 40 largest jobs hold 93% of the people.

People: BLS counts for this industry, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this industry, else its mean, else the national median. 78 smaller jobs (3,690 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 93% of the industry's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.

The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028

Across the whole industry, on the chosen pace and reliability.

  1. Record quantities of materials processed.Sewing Machine Operators
    783,118 hours100% of the task within reach
  2. Plan and establish work schedules, assignments, and production sequences to meet production goals.First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers
    605,437 hours100% of the task within reach
  3. Plan and develop new products and production processes.First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers
    560,564 hours70% of the task within reach
  4. Monitor market conditions, product innovations, and competitors' products, prices, and sales.Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products
    495,383 hours100% of the task within reach
  5. Read and analyze charts, work orders, production schedules, and other records and reports to determine production requirements and to evaluate current production estimates and outputs.First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers
    410,315 hours100% of the task within reach
  6. Prepare documents, such as work orders, bills of lading, or shipping orders, to route materials.Shipping, Receiving, and Inventory Clerks
    402,525 hours100% of the task within reach
  7. Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General
    390,739 hours100% of the task within reach
  8. Perform administrative duties, such as preparing sales budgets and reports, keeping sales records, and filing expense account reports.Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products
    332,145 hours100% of the task within reach
  9. 305,288 hours100% of the task within reach
  10. Determine standards, budgets, production goals, and rates, based on company policies, equipment and labor availability, and workloads.First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers
    304,704 hours100% of the task within reach

Scan a typical company in this industry

The industry's largest jobs, in the proportions BLS counts across the whole industry, at the pay it pays, run through the company scan. A starting point before you have a roster, or a benchmark for the one you have. Or choose the whole industry: every occupation BLS publishes for it with task data, at its nationwide headcount, the sector report ($249 for the full report, or included in Pro).

Scan a typical companyOr paste your own roles

Next to this industry

Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.

How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this industry; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works

Questions about this industry

How much of the work in Other Textile Product Mills is within reach of AI now?
An estimated 24% of the paid hours in Other Textile Product Mills are within reach of AI models now and 27% by the end of 2028, on METR's long-run pace at four in five (26% to 27% across the three paces the site shows). Within reach means a model could finish work that long at that reliability. It is not a forecast of jobs lost or of savings.
Which jobs in Other Textile Product Mills carry the most hours within reach?
By hours within reach now (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index): First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers (2,580 people, 48% of their time, about 2.6 million hours a year); Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products (2,180 people, 46% of their time, about 2.1 million hours a year); and General and Operations Managers (2,080 people, 45% of their time, about 1.9 million hours a year).
Which tasks in Other Textile Product Mills carry the most hours within reach by the end of 2028?
Record quantities of materials processed (Sewing Machine Operators, about 783,118 hours a year); Plan and establish work schedules, assignments, and production sequences to meet production goals (First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers, about 605,437 hours a year); and Plan and develop new products and production processes (First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers, about 560,564 hours a year).
What would people working in Other Textile Product Mills learn first?
Among the 47,844 people in jobs reviewed task by task, the skills most often among the first two things to learn on their job's page are the hands-on craft (32,767 people); reviewing work you did not do yourself (15,798 people); and briefing a model and checking its drafts (10,478 people). By the end of 2028 on the long-run pace at four in five, about 72% of their working time stays with people, 19% becomes checking a model's work and 9% can be handed over with lighter checks. It says which parts of the work change, never whether anyone keeps a job.
How is this estimated?
BLS counts the people in each occupation in Other Textile Product Mills (May 2025); each occupation's share of working time within reach comes from its O*NET tasks, each with an estimated length checked against GDPval, and METR's measurements of how long a task the best AI models can finish, carried forward to the date from the latest, Claude Mythos Preview (early) in April 2026. The industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Task data covers 93% of its people, and 85% are in occupations reviewed task by task. Data checked November 10, 2026.

How the estimates are made

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