Industry group, 4869
Other Pipeline Transportation
7,000 people work in this industry in the US, at mean pay of $97,130 a year (BLS, May 2025). What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 3.3 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 41%
- 7%
- 52%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 25% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this industry's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 26%. Today's estimate: 28%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 24 largest jobs hold 95% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operators, and Gaugers | 1,980 | 42% | 1.7 million | $96K |
| Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers | 910 | 14% | 259,314 | $57K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers | 190 | 32% | 126,069 | $132K |
| Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers | 210 | 24% | 105,269 | $94K |
| General and Operations Managers | 220 | 23% | 104,333 | $166K |
| Industrial Machinery Mechanics | 310 | 15% | 99,299 | $98K |
| Project Management Specialists | 130 | 33% | 89,503 | $138K |
| Pump Operators, Except Wellhead Pumpers | 140 | 29% | 85,322 | $91K |
| Compliance Officers | 100 | 37% | 76,128 | $108K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators | 70 | 51% | 73,965 | $86K |
| Office Clerks, General | 60 | 54% | 67,766 | $63K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Helpers, Laborers, and Material Movers, Hand | 70 | 44% | 64,064 | $86K |
People: BLS counts for this industry, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this industry, else its mean, else the national median. 7 smaller jobs (280 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 83% of the industry's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole industry, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Plan movement of products through lines to processing, storage, and shipping units, using knowledge of system interconnections and capacities.Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operators, and Gaugers445,240 hours100% of the task within reach
- Monitor process indicators, instruments, gauges, and meters to detect and report any possible problems.Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operators, and Gaugers369,503 hours100% of the task within reach
- Operate control panels to coordinate and regulate process variables such as temperature and pressure, and to direct product flow rate, according to process schedules.Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operators, and Gaugers277,045 hours100% of the task within reach
- Coordinate shutdowns and major projects.Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operators, and Gaugers233,711 hours99% of the task within reach
- Record and compile operating data, instrument readings, documentation, and results of laboratory analyses.Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operators, and Gaugers175,238 hours100% of the task within reach
- Read and analyze specifications, schedules, logs, test results, and laboratory recommendations to determine how to set equipment controls to produce the required qualities and quantities of products.Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operators, and Gaugers147,274 hours100% of the task within reach
- Synchronize activities with other pumphouses to ensure a continuous flow of products and a minimum of contamination between products.Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operators, and Gaugers97,071 hours100% of the task within reach
- Prepare calculations for receipts and deliveries of oil and oil products.Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operators, and Gaugers93,364 hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers77,510 hours100% of the task within reach
- Verify that all firm and regulatory policies and procedures have been documented, implemented, and communicated.Compliance Officers58,559 hours94% of the task within reach
Scan a typical company in this industry
The industry's largest jobs, in the proportions BLS counts across the whole industry, at the pay it pays, run through the company scan. A starting point before you have a roster, or a benchmark for the one you have.
Next to this industry
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this industry; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works