Industry group, 4861
Pipeline Transportation of Crude Oil
12,330 people work in this industry in the US, at mean pay of $112,050 a year (BLS, May 2025). What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 4.9 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 45%
- 9%
- 45%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 19% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this industry's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 18%. Today's estimate: 21%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 88% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operators, and Gaugers | 1,430 | 42% | 1.2 million | $91K |
| Pump Operators, Except Wellhead Pumpers | 700 | 29% | 426,608 | $80K |
| General and Operations Managers | 590 | 23% | 279,803 | $174K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers | 330 | 32% | 218,962 | $133K |
| Industrial Machinery Mechanics | 650 | 15% | 208,208 | $102K |
| Service Unit Operators, Oil and Gas | 820 | 12% | 208,083 | $98K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 210 | 43% | 186,077 | $60K |
| Gas Plant Operators | 480 | 14% | 141,773 | $86K |
| Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers | 450 | 14% | 128,232 | $55K |
| Electrical and Electronics Repairers, Commercial and Industrial Equipment | 410 | 14% | 122,803 | $103K |
| Production, Planning, and Expediting Clerks | 90 | 63% | 118,685 | $76K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers | 190 | 27% | 105,124 | $133K |
People: BLS counts for this industry, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this industry, else its mean, else the national median. 42 smaller jobs (1,290 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 89% of the industry's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole industry, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Plan movement of products through lines to processing, storage, and shipping units, using knowledge of system interconnections and capacities.Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operators, and Gaugers321,562 hours100% of the task within reach
- Monitor process indicators, instruments, gauges, and meters to detect and report any possible problems.Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operators, and Gaugers266,863 hours100% of the task within reach
- Plan movement of products through lines to processing, storage, and shipping units, using knowledge of interconnections and capacities of pipelines, valve manifolds, pumps, and tankage.Pump Operators, Except Wellhead Pumpers251,757 hours100% of the task within reach
- Operate control panels to coordinate and regulate process variables such as temperature and pressure, and to direct product flow rate, according to process schedules.Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operators, and Gaugers200,088 hours100% of the task within reach
- Coordinate shutdowns and major projects.Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operators, and Gaugers168,791 hours99% of the task within reach
- Develop or maintain hygiene programs, such as noise surveys, continuous atmosphere monitoring, ventilation surveys, or asbestos management plans.Occupational Health and Safety Specialists145,642 hours96% of the task within reach
- Record and compile operating data, instrument readings, documentation, and results of laboratory analyses.Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operators, and Gaugers126,561 hours100% of the task within reach
- Analyze test results, machine error messages, or information obtained from operators to diagnose equipment problems.Industrial Machinery Mechanics118,003 hours100% of the task within reach
- Read and analyze specifications, schedules, logs, test results, and laboratory recommendations to determine how to set equipment controls to produce the required qualities and quantities of products.Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operators, and Gaugers106,365 hours100% of the task within reach
- Prepare reports of services rendered, tools used, or time required, for billing purposes.Service Unit Operators, Oil and Gas95,360 hours100% of the task within reach
Scan a typical company in this industry
The industry's largest jobs, in the proportions BLS counts across the whole industry, at the pay it pays, run through the company scan. A starting point before you have a roster, or a benchmark for the one you have.
Next to this industry
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this industry; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works