State
South Dakota
457,380 people work in South Dakota, at mean pay of $57,610 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 222 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 37%
- 6%
- 57%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 19% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 24% within reach now and 39% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 3%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 21%. Today's estimate: 24%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 48% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 10,200 | 76% | 16 million | $46K |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 5,760 | 83% | 9.9 million | $38K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 6,120 | 67% | 8.5 million | $41K |
| Cashiers | 12,860 | 30% | 8.1 million | $30K |
| Registered Nurses | 14,710 | 21% | 6.4 million | $78K |
| Retail Salespersons | 14,180 | 20% | 5.9 million | $34K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 6,120 | 39% | 5 million | $42K |
| Fast Food and Counter Workers | 15,150 | 15% | 4.8 million | $29K |
| Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products | 5,220 | 44% | 4.8 million | $77K |
| Stockers and Order Fillers | 11,460 | 18% | 4.2 million | $38K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers | 2,920 | 48% | 2.9 million | $41K |
| Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education | 4,290 | 29% | 2.6 million | $50K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 558 smaller jobs (233,230 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 99% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Perform personnel activities, such as supervising and training employees.Fast Food and Counter Workers4.5 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses4.1 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons3.4 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Operate computers programmed with accounting software to record, store, and analyze information.Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks3.3 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Plan, organize, and control the operations of a cocktail lounge or bar.Bartenders2.9 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Coordinate conferences, meetings, or special events, such as luncheons or graduation ceremonies.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive2.2 million hours89% of the task within reach
- Work with individuals, groups, or families to plan or implement programs designed to improve the overall health of communities.Registered Nurses2 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Keep periodic balance sheets of amounts and numbers of transactions.Cashiers1.9 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform general office duties, such as filing, answering telephones, and handling routine correspondence.Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks1.9 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform administrative support tasks, such as proofreading, transcribing handwritten information, or operating calculators or computers to work with pay records, invoices, balance sheets, or other documents.Receptionists and Information Clerks1.8 million hours100% of the task within reach
Metro and nonmetro areas in South Dakota
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works