Metro area, North Carolina
Raleigh-Cary, NC
743,120 people work in this area, at mean pay of $70,740 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 341 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 43%
- 16%
- 41%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 17% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 20%. Today's estimate: 23%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 47% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Customer Service Representatives | 13,620 | 64% | 18 million | $42K |
| Office Clerks, General | 11,350 | 54% | 13 million | $44K |
| Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants | 7,600 | 81% | 13 million | $47K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 7,550 | 78% | 12 million | $50K |
| Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel | 8,970 | 43% | 8 million | $69K |
| Retail Salespersons | 18,660 | 19% | 7.5 million | $33K |
| Registered Nurses | 12,780 | 28% | 7.4 million | $85K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 7,170 | 43% | 6.4 million | $49K |
| Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products | 7,550 | 36% | 5.6 million | $72K |
| Cashiers | 14,350 | 19% | 5.5 million | $30K |
| Project Management Specialists | 7,930 | 33% | 5.5 million | $102K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers | 5,960 | 40% | 5 million | $46K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 542 smaller jobs (385,130 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 97% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Develop sales presentations or proposals to explain service specifications.Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel3.8 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Collect and analyze data on customer demographics, preferences, needs, and buying habits to identify potential markets and factors affecting product demand.Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists3.7 million hours90% of the task within reach
- Modify existing software to correct errors, adapt it to new hardware, or upgrade interfaces and improve performance.Software Developers3.5 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Obtain and examine all relevant information to assess validity of complaints and to determine possible causes, such as extreme weather conditions that could increase utility bills.Customer Service Representatives3.1 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform bookkeeping duties, such as credits or collections, preparing and sending financial statements or bills, and keeping financial records.Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants3 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Complete contract forms, prepare change of address records, or issue service discontinuance orders, using computers.Customer Service Representatives2.8 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General2.8 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Prepare, examine, or analyze accounting records, financial statements, or other financial reports to assess accuracy, completeness, and conformance to reporting and procedural standards.Accountants and Auditors2.5 million hours98% of the task within reach
- Operate computers programmed with accounting software to record, store, and analyze information.Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks2.5 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Analyze user needs and software requirements to determine feasibility of design within time and cost constraints.Software Developers2.4 million hours70% of the task within reach
Other areas in North Carolina
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC1,358,370 people23% now, 39% by 2028
- Greensboro-High Point, NC365,410 people22% now, 34% by 2028
- Durham-Chapel Hill, NC344,020 people23% now, 43% by 2028
- Winston-Salem, NC271,980 people22% now, 34% by 2028
- Eastern North Carolina nonmetropolitan area264,470 people21% now, 31% by 2028
- Western North Carolina nonmetropolitan area253,210 people21% now, 32% by 2028
- Central North Carolina nonmetropolitan area238,010 people21% now, 31% by 2028
- Wilmington, NC191,280 people22% now, 34% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works