State
New Jersey
4,285,720 people work in New Jersey, at mean pay of $78,040 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 2.2 billion hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 42%
- 8%
- 50%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 19% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 24% within reach now and 39% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 22%. Today's estimate: 25%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 47% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Customer Service Representatives | 59,690 | 67% | 83 million | $48K |
| Office Clerks, General | 65,130 | 58% | 79 million | $49K |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 42,060 | 83% | 73 million | $42K |
| Cashiers | 107,680 | 30% | 67 million | $35K |
| Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel | 44,980 | 69% | 64 million | $79K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 37,550 | 76% | 60 million | $58K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers | 55,210 | 47% | 54 million | $77K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 65,960 | 39% | 54 million | $50K |
| Registered Nurses | 92,680 | 21% | 40 million | $107K |
| Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products | 34,360 | 44% | 32 million | $79K |
| Retail Salespersons | 72,530 | 20% | 30 million | $37K |
| Fast Food and Counter Workers | 93,730 | 15% | 30 million | $34K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 690 smaller jobs (2,227,910 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 98% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Perform personnel activities, such as supervising and training employees.Fast Food and Counter Workers28 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses26 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Coordinate conferences, meetings, or special events, such as luncheons or graduation ceremonies.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive24 million hours89% of the task within reach
- Develop sales presentations or proposals to explain service specifications.Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel19 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons18 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General16 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Keep periodic balance sheets of amounts and numbers of transactions.Cashiers16 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Modify existing software to correct errors, adapt it to new hardware, or upgrade interfaces and improve performance.Software Developers14 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Analyze user needs and software requirements to determine feasibility of design within time and cost constraints.Software Developers14 million hours99% of the task within reach
- Implement corporate or departmental policies, procedures, and service standards in conjunction with management.First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers14 million hours100% of the task within reach
Metro and nonmetro areas in New Jersey
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works