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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
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Metro area, Alabama

Huntsville, AL

266,650 people work in this area, at mean pay of $71,090 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.

now
21%

of the paid hours. Estimate.

$4.8B

a year: 108 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.

Kinds of work
  • 43%
  • 16%
  • 41%
4%

of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 16% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.

Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.

Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 43% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 18%. Today's estimate: 21%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 1% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 2% within reacho3, April 2025: 5% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 7% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 9% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 9% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 10% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 11% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 18% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 21% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

Where the hours are

Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 50% of the people.

PeoplePay here
Customer Service Representatives3,34064%4.5 million$38K
Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive4,70043%4.2 million$46K
Registered Nurses6,80028%3.9 million$77K
Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants1,80081%3 million$38K
Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks1,83078%3 million$47K
Retail Salespersons7,03019%2.8 million$33K
Stockers and Order Fillers5,33019%2.1 million$35K
Software Developers7,03014%2 million$128K
First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers2,30040%1.9 million$39K
General and Operations Managers4,05023%1.9 million$136K
First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers2,67032%1.8 million$68K
Cashiers4,32019%1.7 million$30K

People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 384 smaller jobs (125,240 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 95% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.

The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028

Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.

  1. Modify existing software to correct errors, adapt it to new hardware, or upgrade interfaces and improve performance.Software Developers
    2 million hours100% of the task within reach
  2. Analyze user needs and software requirements to determine feasibility of design within time and cost constraints.Software Developers
    1.4 million hours70% of the task within reach
  3. Develop or direct software system testing or validation procedures, programming, or documentation.Software Developers
    1.3 million hours79% of the task within reach
  4. Write technical reports or other documentation, such as handbooks or bulletins, for use by engineering staff, management, or customers.Aerospace Engineers
    1.2 million hours100% of the task within reach
  5. Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses
    1.1 million hours60% of the task within reach
  6. Formulate conceptual design of aeronautical or aerospace products or systems to meet customer requirements or conform to environmental regulations.Aerospace Engineers
    1.1 million hours98% of the task within reach
  7. Design, develop and modify software systems, using scientific analysis and mathematical models to predict and measure outcomes and consequences of design.Software Developers
    1.1 million hours38% of the task within reach
  8. Determine system performance standards.Software Developers
    1 million hours98% of the task within reach
  9. Coordinate conferences, meetings, or special events, such as luncheons or graduation ceremonies.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive
    1 million hours53% of the task within reach
  10. Analyze information to determine, recommend, and plan installation of a new system or modification of an existing system.Software Developers
    949,767 hours99% of the task within reach

Other areas in Alabama

Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works