Metro area, Oregon
Albany, OR
47,260 people work in this area, at mean pay of $61,740 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 17 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 30%
- 16%
- 54%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 17% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 19%. Today's estimate: 21%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 56% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 540 | 78% | 871,604 | $51K |
| Office Clerks, General | 690 | 54% | 779,314 | $48K |
| Stockers and Order Fillers | 1,470 | 19% | 580,944 | $39K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 610 | 43% | 540,510 | $48K |
| Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants | 310 | 81% | 520,354 | $52K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 330 | 64% | 442,042 | $45K |
| Retail Salespersons | 1,040 | 19% | 419,661 | $36K |
| Cashiers | 1,080 | 19% | 415,584 | $34K |
| General and Operations Managers | 810 | 23% | 384,137 | $93K |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 280 | 59% | 342,451 | $39K |
| Registered Nurses | 580 | 28% | 335,380 | $112K |
| Shipping, Receiving, and Inventory Clerks | 290 | 53% | 319,093 | $50K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 233 smaller jobs (18,070 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 86% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Record numbers of units handled or moved, using daily production sheets or work tickets.Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand221,450 hours100% of the task within reach
- Operate computers programmed with accounting software to record, store, and analyze information.Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks175,612 hours100% of the task within reach
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General172,827 hours100% of the task within reach
- Keep periodic balance sheets of amounts and numbers of transactions.Cashiers158,798 hours100% of the task within reach
- Coordinate conferences, meetings, or special events, such as luncheons or graduation ceremonies.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive133,599 hours53% of the task within reach
- Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons126,017 hours50% of the task within reach
- Perform bookkeeping duties, such as credits or collections, preparing and sending financial statements or bills, and keeping financial records.Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants124,176 hours100% of the task within reach
- Use computers for various applications, such as database management or word processing.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive121,840 hours100% of the task within reach
- Compile and maintain non-monetary reports and records.Cashiers113,151 hours100% of the task within reach
- Determine proper storage methods, identification, and stock location, based on turnover, environmental factors, and physical capabilities of facilities.Stockers and Order Fillers108,973 hours80% of the task within reach
Other areas in Oregon
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA1,208,410 people22% now, 38% by 2028
- Salem, OR188,620 people22% now, 36% by 2028
- Eugene-Springfield, OR157,710 people23% now, 35% by 2028
- Coast Oregon nonmetropolitan area114,190 people21% now, 30% by 2028
- Bend, OR108,240 people23% now, 35% by 2028
- Medford, OR89,060 people23% now, 33% by 2028
- Eastern Oregon nonmetropolitan area73,720 people21% now, 30% by 2028
- Central Oregon nonmetropolitan area50,170 people22% now, 32% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works