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Web Developers

Develop and implement websites, web applications, application databases, and interactive web interfaces. Evaluate code to ensure that it is properly structured, meets industry standards, and is compatible with browsers and devices. Optimize website performance, scalability, and server-side code and processes. May develop website infrastructure and integrate websites with other computer applications.

70,190 people do this job in the US. $92,650 a year.

now
20%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 94%
  • 6%
  • 0%
48%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
June 2027

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 94% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 13%. Today's estimate: 20%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 2% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 3% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 3% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 3% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 4% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 13% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 20% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 29 tasks from .

TaskKind
Write supporting code for Web applications or Web sites.Done hourly or more by most who do it. AI observed on this task.19%3.3 h50 min to 1.7 work days21%Half by May 2027
Design, build, or maintain Web sites, using authoring or scripting languages, content creation tools, management tools, and digital media.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.19%6.7 h1.7 h to 4.2 work days6%Half by Jan 2028
Develop databases that support Web applications and Web sites.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.10%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days2%Half by Feb 2028
Select programming languages, design tools, or applications.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 9%3.3 h50 min to 1.3 work days25%Half by Mar 2027
Perform Web site tests according to planned schedules, or after any Web site or product revision.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 7%3.3 h50 min to 6.7 h32%Half by Jan 2027
Create Web models or prototypes that include physical, interface, logical, or data models.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 4%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days8%Half by Sep 2027
Evaluate code to ensure that it is valid, is properly structured, meets industry standards, and is compatible with browsers, devices, or operating systems.Done more than weekly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.3%1.7 h25 min to 6.7 h43%Half by Nov 2026
Recommend and implement performance improvements.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%5 h1.7 h to 1.7 work days17%Half by Apr 2027
Design and implement Web site security measures, such as firewalls and message encryption. AI observed on this task.3%1.3 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days4%Half by Dec 2027
Perform or direct Web site updates.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%1.7 h25 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Incorporate technical considerations into Web site design plans, such as budgets, equipment, performance requirements, and legal issues including accessibility and privacy.2%6.7 h2.5 h to 2.5 work days9%Half by Jul 2027
Document technical factors such as server load, bandwidth, database performance, and browser and device types.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 2%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h46%Half by Oct 2026

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.