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Computer Systems Engineers/Architects

Design and develop solutions to complex applications problems, system administration issues, or network concerns. Perform systems management and integration functions.

$116,580 a year (for the broader BLS group this job sits in).

now
16%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 67%
  • 32%
  • 1%
31%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
May 2027

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 67% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 11%. Today's estimate: 16%.

0%5%10%15%20%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 1% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 2% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 2% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 3% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 3% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 11% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 16% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 28 tasks from .

TaskKind
Direct the analysis, development, and operation of complete computer systems.Done daily by most who do it. 15%2.1 work days6.7 h to 4.2 work daysStays with people
Direct the installation of operating systems, network or application software, or computer or network hardware.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 14%6.7 h1.7 h to 1.7 work daysStays with people
Verify stability, interoperability, portability, security, or scalability of system architecture.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.10%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days8%Half by Sep 2027
Evaluate current or emerging technologies to consider factors such as cost, portability, compatibility, or usability.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 6%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days8%Half by Sep 2027
Investigate system component suitability for specified purposes, and make recommendations regarding component use.Done daily by most who do it. 6%3.3 h1.3 h to 1.3 work days32%Half by Jan 2027
Evaluate existing systems to determine effectiveness, and suggest changes to meet organizational requirements.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 5%6.7 h3.3 h to 2.5 work days10%Half by May 2027
Provide customers or installation teams guidelines for implementing secure systems.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 5%3.3 h50 min to 1 work day28%Half by Feb 2027
Design and conduct hardware or software tests.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 4%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days8%Half by Sep 2027
Develop application-specific software.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.4%2.8 work days6.7 h to 2.8 work weeks1%Half by Nov 2028
Define and analyze objectives, scope, issues, or organizational impact of information systems.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%3.3 h1.7 h to 1.3 work days38%Half by Nov 2026
Develop system engineering, software engineering, system integration, or distributed system architectures.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.3%2.1 work days6.7 h to 1.7 work weeks1%Half by Apr 2028
Monitor system operation to detect potential problems.Done daily by most who do it. 3%50 min17 min to 3.3 h78%Half by now

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.