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Tile and Stone Setters

Apply hard tile, stone, and comparable materials to walls, floors, ceilings, countertops, and roof decks.

35,850 people do this job in the US. $55,690 a year.

now
4%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 4%
  • 0%
  • 96%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 4% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 3%. Today's estimate: 4%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 1% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 3% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 4% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 25 tasks from .

TaskKind
Lay and set mosaic tiles to create decorative wall, mural, and floor designs.Done daily by most who do it. 16%3.3 h50 min to 1 work dayStays with people
Cut, surface, polish, and install marble and granite or install pre-cast terrazzo, granite or marble units.Done daily by most who do it. 10%2.5 h50 min to 5 hStays with people
Prepare surfaces for tiling by attaching lath or waterproof paper, or by applying a cement mortar coat to a metal screen.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 7%1.7 h25 min to 4.2 hStays with people
Mix, apply, and spread plaster, concrete, mortar, cement, mastic, glue or other adhesives to form a bed for the tiles, using brush, trowel and screed.Done daily by most who do it. 7%38 min17 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Determine and implement the best layout to achieve a desired pattern.Done daily by most who do it. 6%50 min25 min to 2.1 hStays with people
Align and straighten tile using levels, squares, and straightedges.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 6%25 min13 min to 38 minStays with people
Finish and dress the joints and wipe excess grout from between tiles, using damp sponge.Done daily by most who do it. 6%33 min17 min to 50 minStays with people
Cut and shape tile to fit around obstacles and into odd spaces and corners, using hand and power cutting tools.Done daily by most who do it. 5%25 min8 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Spread mastic or other adhesive base on roof deck to form base for promenade tile, using serrated spreader.Done daily by most who do it.4%50 min21 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Measure and mark surfaces to be tiled, following blueprints.Done daily by most who do it. 4%33 min13 min to 1.1 hStays with people
Study blueprints and examine surface to be covered to determine amount of material needed.Done daily by most who do it. 3%50 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Level concrete and allow to dry.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 3%50 min25 min to 2.5 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).