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Floor Layers, Except Carpet, Wood, and Hard Tiles

Apply blocks, strips, or sheets of shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative coverings to floors.

23,640 people do this job in the US. $56,460 a year.

now
3%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 3%
  • 0%
  • 97%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 3% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 3%. Today's estimate: 3%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 2% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 3% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 3% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 3% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 3% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 3% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 3% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 14 tasks from .

TaskKind
Lay out, position, and apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative coverings to floors, walls, and cabinets, following guidelines to keep courses straight and create designs.Done daily by most who do it. 19%1.7 h38 min to 5 hStays with people
Trim excess covering materials, tack edges, and join sections of covering material to form tight joint.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 13%29 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Sweep, scrape, sand, or chip dirt and irregularities to clean base surfaces, correcting imperfections that may show through the covering.Done daily by most who do it. 12%50 min17 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Cut covering and foundation materials, according to blueprints and sketches.Done daily by most who do it. 11%38 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Apply adhesive cement to floor or wall material to join and adhere foundation material.Done daily by most who do it. 10%38 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Cut flooring material to fit around obstructions.Done daily by most who do it. 7%21 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Form a smooth foundation by stapling plywood or Masonite over the floor or by brushing waterproof compound onto surface and filling cracks with plaster, putty, or grout to seal pores.Done daily by most who do it. 6%1.3 h33 min to 4.2 hStays with people
Disconnect and remove appliances, light fixtures, and worn floor and wall covering from floors, walls, and cabinets.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 4%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Roll and press sheet wall and floor covering into cement base to smooth and finish surface, using hand roller.Done daily by most who do it. 4%25 min13 min to 1.1 hStays with people
Heat and soften floor covering materials to patch cracks or fit floor coverings around irregular surfaces, using blowtorch.Done daily by most who do it. 3%42 min17 min to 1.4 hStays with people
Measure and mark guidelines on surfaces or foundations, using chalk lines and dividers.Done daily by most who do it. 3%21 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Inspect surface to be covered to ensure that it is firm and dry.Done daily by most who do it. 3%17 min8 min to 33 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).