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Stone Cutters and Carvers, Manufacturing

Cut or carve stone according to diagrams and patterns.

$46,170 a year (for the broader BLS group this job sits in).

now
5%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 5%
  • 0%
  • 95%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 5% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 5%. Today's estimate: 5%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 2% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 3% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 3% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 3% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 3% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 5% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 5% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 14 tasks from .

TaskKind
Cut, shape, and finish rough blocks of building or monumental stone, according to diagrams or patterns.Done hourly or more by most who do it.18%4.2 h1.7 h to 1.7 work daysStays with people
Carve designs or figures in full or bas relief on stone, employing knowledge of stone carving techniques and sense of artistry to produce carvings consistent with designers' plans.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 18%1.3 work days3.3 h to 1 work weekStays with people
Drill holes and cut or carve moldings and grooves in stone, according to diagrams and patterns.Done daily by most who do it. 12%2.1 h25 min to 4.2 hStays with people
Shape, trim, or touch up roughed-out designs with appropriate tools to finish carvings.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 10%1.7 h25 min to 5 hStays with people
Guide nozzles over stone, following stencil outlines, or chip along marks to create designs or to work surfaces down to specified finishes.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 10%1.7 h17 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Carve rough designs freehand or by chipping along marks on stone, using mallets and chisels or pneumatic tools.Done daily by most who do it.9%3.3 h50 min to 1 work dayStays with people
Remove or add stencils during blasting to create differing cut depths, intricate designs, or rough, pitted finishes.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 6%1.1 h17 min to 2.1 hStays with people
Lay out designs or dimensions from sketches or blueprints on stone surfaces, freehand or by transferring them from tracing paper, using scribes or chalk and measuring instruments.Done daily by most who do it. 4%50 min17 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Verify depths and dimensions of cuts or carvings to ensure adherence to specifications, blueprints, or models, using measuring instruments.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 3%25 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Study artistic objects or graphic materials, such as models, sketches, or blueprints, to plan carving or cutting techniques.Done hourly or more by most who do it.3%38 min13 min to 1.3 h98%Half by now
Load sandblasting equipment with abrasives, attach nozzles to hoses, and turn valves to admit compressed air and activate jets.Done hourly or more by most who do it.3%25 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Smooth surfaces of carvings, using rubbing stones.Done hourly or more by most who do it.2%1.1 h17 min to 2.5 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.