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Molders, Shapers, and Casters, Except Metal and Plastic

Mold, shape, form, cast, or carve products such as food products, figurines, tile, pipes, and candles consisting of clay, glass, plaster, concrete, stone, or combinations of materials.

33,190 people do this job in the US. $46,170 a year.

now
0%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 0%
  • 0%
  • 100%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
No desk work

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 0% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 0%. Today's estimate: 0%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 0% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 0% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 0% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 24 tasks from .

TaskKind
Construct or form molds for use in casting clay or plaster objects, using plaster, fiberglass, rubber, casting machines, patterns, or flasks.19%1.7 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Align and assemble parts to produce completed products, using gauges and hand tools.Done daily by most who do it.9%29 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Separate models or patterns from molds and examine products for accuracy.Done daily by most who do it.6%25 min8 min to 42 minStays with people
Clean, finish, and lubricate molds and mold parts.Done daily by most who do it.6%21 min8 min to 1.1 hStays with people
Pour, pack, spread, or press plaster, concrete, or other materials into or around models or molds.6%33 min8 min to 1.1 hStays with people
Assemble, insert, and adjust wires, tubes, cores, fittings, rods, or patterns into molds, using hand tools and depth gauges.Done daily by most who do it.5%25 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Load or stack filled molds in ovens, dryers, or curing boxes, or on storage racks or carts.Done hourly or more by most who do it.5%17 min4 min to 33 minStays with people
Trim or remove excess material, using scrapers, knives, or band saws.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 5%13 min4 min to 33 minStays with people
Smooth surfaces of molds, using scraping tools or sandpaper.Done daily by most who do it.5%25 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Brush or spray mold surfaces with parting agents or insert paper into molds to ensure smoothness and prevent sticking or seepage.Done hourly or more by most who do it.4%13 min4 min to 25 minStays with people
Repair mold defects, such as cracks or broken edges, using patterns, mold boxes, or hand tools.Done daily by most who do it.4%38 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Operate and adjust controls of heating equipment to melt material or to cure, dry, or bake filled molds.Done daily by most who do it.3%17 min8 min to 33 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).