Spa Managers
In short: today's best AI models could do about 49% of this job's working time (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index) if the work were set up for them, and about 55% by the end of 2028 if progress keeps its long-run pace. The people and hands-on work, about 45% of the time, stays with people.
Plan, direct, or coordinate activities of a spa facility. Coordinate programs, schedule and direct staff, and oversee financial activities.
$69,770 a year (for the broader BLS group this job sits in).
A typical 40-hour week
Not yet reviewed task by task- AI could take on20 h
- A person checks AI's work0 h
- Desk work AI can't do yet2 h
- Stays with people18 h
Spa Managers, now: of a 40-hour week, AI could take on 20 hours, 0 hours become checking its work, 2 hours are desk work it can't do yet, and 18 hours stay with people.
The largest pieces: Develop or implement marketing strategies (about 3 h); Coordinate facility schedules to maximize usage and efficiency (about 3 h); Schedule guest appointments (about 2 h).
Estimates for a typical week of this job, if progress keeps its long-run pace, counting work the best models finish four times in five. Every task is below.
of the working time. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.
- 55%
- 27%
- 19%
of the work: Anthropic's measure of what people already bring to Claude at work (2025). It counts help with part of a task, so it can be higher than the share within reach.
On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.
Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030
Change assumptionsHide assumptionsLong-run pace, four in five
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 2.4 work days long four times in five.
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 33%. Today's estimate: 49%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Measured use over time
Of the Claude.ai conversations Anthropic sampled and tied to a work task, 0.11% went to this job's tasks in May 2026, the 160th largest of the 447 jobs that showed up at all; 3 of its 21 tasks showed up. Within each of Anthropic's methods, never across a change: 0.079% to 0.15% (released February and March 2025); 0.15% to 0.37% (August 2025 to February 2026); 0.12% to 0.11% (April to May 2026).
Each release
| Conversations | Share | Rank | Tasks seen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Released February 2025 | 0.079% | 206 of 708 | 5 of 21 |
| Released March 2025 | 0.15% | 113 of 703 | 5 of 21 |
| The week of Aug 4, 2025 (released September 2025) | 0.15% | 121 of 655 | 2 of 21 |
| The week of Nov 13, 2025 (released January 2026) | 0.22% | 76 of 672 | 4 of 21 |
| The week of Feb 5, 2026 (released March 2026) | 0.37% | 56 of 677 | 5 of 21 |
| April 2026 (released June 2026) | 0.12% | 148 of 434 | 3 of 21 |
| May 2026 (released June 2026) | 0.11% | 160 of 447 | 3 of 21 |
Measured, not estimated: Anthropic's samples of Claude.ai conversations, each tied by a model to an O*NET task, from the Anthropic Economic Index. It says where Claude's use goes, not how much of this job's working time it covers, so it is not on the same scale as the reach above. The releases differ in their sample, their classifier and the smallest share they report (the June 2026 file rounds each task to a hundredth of a percent, so a smaller task reads as none), which is why a change of method starts a new line. At least 96% of each older release's task-tied use matched this site's tasks, and all of the newest. Claude.ai only, so use through other tools and other companies' models is not in it. Every job ranked.
Robots and the physical work
Anthropic rates 8% of this job's working time as physical work. For 2% of the working time, a robot has been shown doing most of the task somewhere: 2% in a purpose-built cell. 0.02 of 3, the 639th highest of the 923 jobs.
- Not physical 92%
- No robot shown 6%
- In a purpose-built cell 2%
Anthropic's rating, not this site's estimate: Claude Opus 5, searching the web, rated each physical O*NET task by the kind of setting in which a robot it could cite (deployed, sold or demonstrated) does most of the task, weighted by its own estimate of each task's share of the time (What work can robots do?, September 30, 2026, data CC BY 4.0; every job ranked). A robot shown somewhere is not a robot in your building: cost, setup and safety decide that. The share within reach on this page still counts no body work. The robot behind each rated task is under the task below.
The tasks
Sorted by . 21 tasks from .
| Task | Kind | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Train staff in the use or sale of products, programs, or activities.Done more than monthly by most who do it. | 13% | 1.3 h25 min to 2.5 h | Stays with people | |
| Perform accounting duties, such as recording daily cash flow, preparing bank deposits, or generating financial statements.Done daily by most who do it. | 10% | 50 min25 min to 2.5 h | Stays with people | |
| Develop or implement marketing strategies.Done more than monthly by most who do it. AI observed on this task. | 10% | 5 h1.7 h to 1.7 work days | 80%Half by now | |
| Establish spa budgets and financial goals.Done more than yearly by most who do it. | 8% | 6.7 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days | 61%Half by now | |
| Coordinate facility schedules to maximize usage and efficiency.Done daily by most who do it. | 7% | 50 min17 min to 1.7 h | 100%Half by now | |
| Plan or direct spa services and programs.Done more than monthly by most who do it. AI observed on this task. | 6% | 2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h | Stays with people | |
| Schedule guest appointments.Done hourly or more by most who do it. AI observed on this task. | 6% | 13 min4 min to 38 min | 100%Half by now | |
| Respond to customer inquiries or complaints.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task. | 5% | 17 min4 min to 50 min | 100%Half by now | |
| Assess employee performance and suggest ways to improve work.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task. | 4% | 50 min25 min to 1.7 h | 100%Half by now | |
| Inventory products and order new supplies.Done more than weekly by most who do it. | 4% | 1.3 h25 min to 3.3 h | Stays with people | |
| Sell products, services, or memberships.Done more than weekly by most who do it. | 4% | 17 min8 min to 38 min | Stays with people | |
| Maintain client databases.Done daily by most who do it. | 3% | 25 min13 min to 1.3 h | 100%Half by now |
Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.
Jobs that share skills with this one
From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Fitness and Wellness Coordinators54% now, 67% by 2028
- First-Line Supervisors of Personal Service Workers31% now, 32% by 2028
- Skincare Specialists10% now, 10% by 2028
- Lodging Managers50% now, 54% by 2028
- First-Line Supervisors of Entertainment and Recreation Workers, Except Gambling Services27% now, 28% by 2028
- Medical and Health Services Managers31% now, 63% by 2028
Where this job works
The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.
Where the most of these jobs are
The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.
Questions about this job
- How much of the work of Spa Managers is within reach of AI now?
- An estimated 49% of the working time is within reach of AI models now and 55% by the end of 2028, on METR's long-run pace at four in five (54% to 55% across the three paces the site shows). Within reach means a model could finish work that long at that reliability. It is not a forecast of jobs lost or of savings.
- Which tasks of Spa Managers come within reach first?
- Weighted by the time each takes, the tasks with the most within reach now (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index) are: Develop or implement marketing strategies (80% of the task's time now, 100% by the end of 2028); Coordinate facility schedules to maximize usage and efficiency (100% of the task's time now); and Schedule guest appointments (100% of the task's time now).
- Which tasks of Spa Managers stay with people?
- Tasks that are people work or body work are not counted as within reach at any date. The largest: Train staff in the use or sale of products, programs, or activities; Perform accounting duties, such as recording daily cash flow, preparing bank deposits, or generating financial statements; and Plan or direct spa services and programs. Together such tasks are about 45% of the working time.
- Do people already use AI for the work of Spa Managers?
- In the Claude.ai conversations Anthropic sampled for May 2026 and tied to a work task, 0.11% went to this job's tasks, the 160th largest share of the 447 jobs that showed up; 3 of its 21 tasks appeared. Anthropic's labor market measure puts the share of the job's tasks seen in real Claude use at work at 12%. These are measures of use, not of how much of the work AI could finish, and they cover Claude only.
- Can robots do the physical work of Spa Managers?
- Anthropic's robot exposure rating (September 2026) finds 8% of the working time is physical work, and that a robot has been shown doing most of the task, somewhere, for 2% of the working time. Its index is 0.02 of 3. One example: ZELTWANGER end-of-line testing systems (robot cells) for "check spa equipment to ensure proper functioning". A robot shown somewhere is not one in every workplace; this site's own estimates still count no physical work as within reach.
- How is this estimated?
- From the 21 tasks O*NET lists for the occupation, each with an estimated length checked against GDPval and a share of the working time, each classed as desk, people or body work, and METR's measurements of how long a task the best AI models can finish, carried forward to the date from the latest, Claude Mythos Preview (early) in April 2026. Data checked November 10, 2026.
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