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Real Estate Brokers

Operate real estate office, or work for commercial real estate firm, overseeing real estate transactions. Other duties usually include selling real estate or renting properties and arranging loans.

46,100 people do this job in the US. $73,220 a year.

now
28%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 45%
  • 6%
  • 49%
26%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 45% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 22%. Today's estimate: 28%.

0%10%20%30%40%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 2% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 5% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 5% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 7% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 7% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 22% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 28% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 19 tasks from .

TaskKind
Sell, for a fee, real estate owned by others.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 18%1 work day3.3 h to 3.1 work daysStays with people
Rent properties or manage rental properties.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.18%4.2 h50 min to 2.1 work daysStays with people
Develop, sell, or lease property used for industry or manufacturing.Done more than yearly by most who do it.13%2.1 work days3.3 h to 1.3 work weeksStays with people
Manage or operate real estate offices, handling associated business details.Done daily by most who do it.12%3.3 h1.7 h to 1 work day43%Half by Oct 2026
Act as an intermediary in negotiations between buyers and sellers over property prices and settlement details and during the closing of sales.Done more than monthly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.9%2.5 h50 min to 1 work day40%Half by Dec 2026
Supervise agents who handle real estate transactions.Done more than yearly by most who do it.6%1.7 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Maintain knowledge of real estate law, local economies, fair housing laws, types of available mortgages, financing options, and government programs.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 5%50 min25 min to 2.5 h95%Half by now
Compare a property with similar properties that have recently sold to determine its competitive market price.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 5%1.3 h38 min to 3.3 h90%Half by now
Appraise property values, assessing income potential when relevant.Done more than monthly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.4%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h46%Half by Oct 2026
Generate lists of properties for sale, their locations, descriptions, and available financing options, using computers.Done more than monthly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.2%50 min17 min to 2.5 h87%Half by now
Monitor fulfillment of purchase contract terms to ensure that they are handled in a timely manner.Done daily by most who do it. 2%1.3 h25 min to 4.2 h69%Half by now
Obtain agreements from property owners to place properties for sale with real estate firms.Done more than monthly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.2%1.7 h25 min to 5 h51%Half by now

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).