Appraisers of Personal and Business Property
In short: today's best AI models could do about 70% of this job's working time (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index) if the work were set up for them, and about 75% by the end of 2028 if progress keeps its long-run pace. The people and hands-on work, about 25% of the time, stays with people.
Appraise and estimate the fair value of tangible personal or business property, such as jewelry, art, antiques, collectibles, and equipment. May also appraise land.
$67,960 a year (for the broader BLS group this job sits in).
A typical 40-hour week
Not yet reviewed task by task- AI could take on28 h
- A person checks AI's work0 h
- Desk work AI can't do yet2 h
- Stays with people10 h
Appraisers of Personal and Business Property, now: of a 40-hour week, AI could take on 28 hours, 0 hours become checking its work, 2 hours are desk work it can't do yet, and 10 hours stay with people.
The largest pieces: Write and submit appraisal reports for property, such as jewelry, art, antiques, collectibles, and equipment (about 9 h); Calculate the value of property based on comparisons to recent sales, estimated cost to reproduce, and anticipated property income streams (about 6 h); Locate and record data on sales of comparable property using specialized software, internet searches, or personal records (about 4 h).
Estimates for a typical week of this job, if progress keeps its long-run pace, counting work the best models finish four times in five. Every task is below.
of the working time. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.
- 75%
- 0%
- 25%
Anthropic's data does not cover this job.
On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.
Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030
Change assumptionsHide assumptionsLong-run pace, four in five
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 2.4 work days long four times in five.
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 39%. Today's estimate: 70%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Measured use over time
None of this job's 14 tasks showed up in the Claude.ai conversations Anthropic sampled in any of its 7 releases, from February 2025 to May 2026.
Measured, not estimated: Anthropic's samples of Claude.ai conversations, each tied by a model to an O*NET task, from the Anthropic Economic Index. It says where Claude's use goes, not how much of this job's working time it covers, so it is not on the same scale as the reach above. The releases differ in their sample, their classifier and the smallest share they report (the June 2026 file rounds each task to a hundredth of a percent, so a smaller task reads as none), which is why a change of method starts a new line. At least 96% of each older release's task-tied use matched this site's tasks, and all of the newest. Claude.ai only, so use through other tools and other companies' models is not in it. Every job ranked.
Robots and the physical work
Anthropic rates 32% of this job's working time as physical work. For 17% of the working time, a robot has been shown doing most of the task somewhere: 17% in a purpose-built cell. 0.17 of 3, the 467th highest of the 923 jobs.
- Not physical 68%
- No robot shown 15%
- In a purpose-built cell 17%
Anthropic's rating, not this site's estimate: Claude Opus 5, searching the web, rated each physical O*NET task by the kind of setting in which a robot it could cite (deployed, sold or demonstrated) does most of the task, weighted by its own estimate of each task's share of the time (What work can robots do?, September 30, 2026, data CC BY 4.0; every job ranked). A robot shown somewhere is not a robot in your building: cost, setup and safety decide that. The share within reach on this page still counts no body work. The robot behind each rated task is under the task below.
The tasks
Sorted by . 14 tasks from .
| Task | Kind | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Write and submit appraisal reports for property, such as jewelry, art, antiques, collectibles, and equipment.Done more than weekly by most who do it. | 28% | 3.3 h1.3 h to 1.7 work days | 84%Half by now | |
| Calculate the value of property based on comparisons to recent sales, estimated cost to reproduce, and anticipated property income streams.Done several times a day by most who do it. | 14% | 1.3 h38 min to 4.2 h | 100%Half by now | |
| Locate and record data on sales of comparable property using specialized software, internet searches, or personal records.Done daily by most who do it. | 11% | 1.3 h25 min to 3.3 h | 99%Half by now | |
| Document physical characteristics of property such as measurements, quality, and design.Done more than weekly by most who do it. Robots: in a purpose-built cell, Sarine Technology Lab / Sarine automated 4Cs grading (sold). Anthropic's rating. | 9% | 50 min17 min to 2.5 h | Stays with people | |
| Inspect personal or business property.Done more than monthly by most who do it. Robots: no robot shown. Anthropic's rating. | 9% | 1.7 h25 min to 5 h | Stays with people | |
| Write descriptions of the property being appraised.Done more than weekly by most who do it. | 7% | 33 min13 min to 1.3 h | 100%Half by now | |
| Determine the appropriate type of valuation to make, such as fair market, replacement, or liquidation, based on the needs of the property owner.Done daily by most who do it. | 4% | 25 min13 min to 1.3 h | 100%Half by now | |
| Forecast the value of property.Done more than yearly by most who do it. | 4% | 1.7 h38 min to 4.2 h | 100%Half by now | |
| Verify that property matches legal descriptions or certifications.Done more than weekly by most who do it. Robots: in a purpose-built cell, Verity autonomous inventory drones (deployed). Anthropic's rating. | 4% | 38 min13 min to 2.5 h | Stays with people | |
| Update appraisals when property has been improved, damaged, or has otherwise changed.Done more than yearly by most who do it. | 3% | 1.3 h25 min to 4.2 h | 98%Half by now | |
| Create and maintain a database of completed appraisals.Done more than weekly by most who do it. | 3% | 25 min13 min to 1.7 h | 100%Half by now | |
| Take photographs of property.Done more than monthly by most who do it. Robots: in a purpose-built cell, Ortery 3D PhotoBench / Photosimile automated photography studios (sold). Anthropic's rating. | 2% | 25 min8 min to 1.7 h | Stays with people |
Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.
Jobs that share skills with this one
From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Appraisers and Assessors of Real Estate79% now, 84% by 2028
- Real Estate Brokers44% now, 45% by 2028
- Real Estate Sales Agents40% now, 41% by 2028
- Insurance Appraisers, Auto Damage72% now, 72% by 2028
- Wholesale and Retail Buyers, Except Farm Products60% now, 62% by 2028
- Property, Real Estate, and Community Association Managers41% now, 42% by 2028
Where this job works
The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.
Where the most of these jobs are
The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.
Questions about this job
- How much of the work of Appraisers of Personal and Business Property is within reach of AI now?
- An estimated 70% of the working time is within reach of AI models now and 75% by the end of 2028, on METR's long-run pace at four in five. Within reach means a model could finish work that long at that reliability. It is not a forecast of jobs lost or of savings.
- Which tasks of Appraisers of Personal and Business Property come within reach first?
- Weighted by the time each takes, the tasks with the most within reach now (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index) are: Write and submit appraisal reports for property, such as jewelry, art, antiques, collectibles, and equipment (84% of the task's time now, 100% by the end of 2028); Calculate the value of property based on comparisons to recent sales, estimated cost to reproduce, and anticipated property income streams (100% of the task's time now); and Locate and record data on sales of comparable property using specialized software, internet searches, or personal records (99% of the task's time now).
- Which tasks of Appraisers of Personal and Business Property stay with people?
- Tasks that are people work or body work are not counted as within reach at any date. The largest: Document physical characteristics of property such as measurements, quality, and design; Inspect personal or business property; and Verify that property matches legal descriptions or certifications. Together such tasks are about 25% of the working time.
- Do people already use AI for the work of Appraisers of Personal and Business Property?
- In the Claude.ai conversations Anthropic sampled for May 2026, no reportable share went to this job's tasks. These are measures of use, not of how much of the work AI could finish, and they cover Claude only.
- Can robots do the physical work of Appraisers of Personal and Business Property?
- Anthropic's robot exposure rating (September 2026) finds 32% of the working time is physical work, and that a robot has been shown doing most of the task, somewhere, for 17% of the working time. Its index is 0.17 of 3. One example: Sarine Technology Lab / Sarine automated 4Cs grading for "document physical characteristics of property such as measurements, quality, and design". A robot shown somewhere is not one in every workplace; this site's own estimates still count no physical work as within reach.
- How is this estimated?
- From the 14 tasks O*NET lists for the occupation, each with an estimated length checked against GDPval and a share of the working time, each classed as desk, people or body work, and METR's measurements of how long a task the best AI models can finish, carried forward to the date from the latest, Claude Mythos Preview (early) in April 2026. Data checked November 10, 2026.
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