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Operations Research Analysts

Formulate and apply mathematical modeling and other optimizing methods to develop and interpret information that assists management with decisionmaking, policy formulation, or other managerial functions. May collect and analyze data and develop decision support software, services, or products. May develop and supply optimal time, cost, or logistics networks for program evaluation, review, or implementation.

108,510 people do this job in the US. $88,940 a year.

now
4%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 95%
  • 5%
  • 0%
43%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
December 2027

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 95% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 2%. Today's estimate: 4%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 0% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 2% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 4% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 17 tasks from .

TaskKind
Observe the current system in operation, and gather and analyze information about each of the component problems, using a variety of sources.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 13%1.3 work days3.3 h to 3.1 work days3%Half by Oct 2027
Formulate mathematical or simulation models of problems, relating constants and variables, restrictions, alternatives, conflicting objectives, and their numerical parameters.Done more than monthly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.13%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days2%Half by Feb 2028
Design, conduct, and evaluate experimental operational models in cases where models cannot be developed from existing data.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 12%1 work week1.7 work days to 2.8 work weeks0%Half by Nov 2028
Perform validation and testing of models to ensure adequacy, and reformulate models, as necessary.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 11%1.3 work days3.3 h to 3.1 work days3%Half by Oct 2027
Develop and apply time and cost networks to plan, control, and review large projects.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 11%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days2%Half by Feb 2028
Study and analyze information about alternative courses of action to determine which plan will offer the best outcomes.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.8%1 work day2.5 h to 2.6 work days6%Half by Sep 2027
Break systems into their components, assign numerical values to each component, and examine the mathematical relationships between them.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 6%1 work day2.5 h to 2.6 work days6%Half by Sep 2027
Develop business methods and procedures, including accounting systems, file systems, office systems, logistics systems, and production schedules.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.5%3.1 work days6.7 h to 1.7 work weeks0%Half by Aug 2028
Specify manipulative or computational methods to be applied to models.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 5%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days9%Half by Aug 2027
Prepare management reports defining and evaluating problems and recommending solutions.Done more than monthly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.4%1 work day3.3 h to 2.1 work days5%Half by Jul 2027
Define data requirements, and gather and validate information, applying judgment and statistical tests.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 3%5 h1.7 h to 1.6 work days17%Half by Apr 2027
Collaborate with others in the organization to ensure successful implementation of chosen problem solutions.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 2%3.3 h1.3 h to 1 work dayStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.