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Statisticians

Develop or apply mathematical or statistical theory and methods to collect, organize, interpret, and summarize numerical data to provide usable information. May specialize in fields such as biostatistics, agricultural statistics, business statistics, or economic statistics. Includes mathematical and survey statisticians.

29,030 people do this job in the US. $105,650 a year.

now
8%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 98%
  • 2%
  • 0%
21%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
February 2028

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 98% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 4%. Today's estimate: 8%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 0% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 4% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 8% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 19 tasks from .

TaskKind
Analyze and interpret statistical data to identify significant differences in relationships among sources of information.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 8%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days9%Half by Aug 2027
Prepare data for processing by organizing information, checking for inaccuracies, and adjusting and weighting the raw data.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 8%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days8%Half by Sep 2027
Process large amounts of data for statistical modeling and graphic analysis, using computers.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.8%6.7 h1.7 h to 3.3 work days7%Half by Nov 2027
Adapt statistical methods to solve specific problems in many fields, such as economics, biology, and engineering.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 8%1.7 work days3.3 h to 1.3 work weeks2%Half by May 2028
Develop and test experimental designs, sampling techniques, and analytical methods.Done more than weekly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.8%2.1 work days3.3 h to 1.7 work weeks1%Half by Sep 2028
Develop software applications or programming for statistical modeling and graphic analysis.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 8%2.1 work days3.3 h to 1.7 work weeks1%Half by Sep 2028
Design research projects that apply valid scientific techniques, and use information obtained from baselines or historical data to structure uncompromised and efficient analyses.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 8%3.3 work days6.7 h to 2.5 work weeks0%Half by Nov 2028
Examine theories, such as those of probability and inference, to discover mathematical bases for new or improved methods of obtaining and evaluating numerical data.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 8%4.2 work days6.7 h to 3.3 work weeks0%Half by Apr 2029
Report results of statistical analyses in peer-reviewed papers and technical manuals.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.8%1.3 work weeks1.7 work days to 4.2 work weeks0%Half by Apr 2029
Identify relationships and trends in data, as well as any factors that could affect the results of research.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.7%5 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days15%Half by Jun 2027
Report results of statistical analyses, including information in the form of graphs, charts, and tables.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.6%5 h1.3 h to 1.7 work days14%Half by Jun 2027
Evaluate sources of information to determine any limitations, in terms of reliability or usability.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 5%3.3 h50 min to 1.3 work days25%Half by Mar 2027

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.