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Materials Scientists

Research and study the structures and chemical properties of various natural and synthetic or composite materials, including metals, alloys, rubber, ceramics, semiconductors, polymers, and glass. Determine ways to strengthen or combine materials or develop new materials with new or specific properties for use in a variety of products and applications. Includes glass scientists, ceramic scientists, metallurgical scientists, and polymer scientists.

8,470 people do this job in the US. $117,790 a year.

now
1%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 49%
  • 3%
  • 48%
18%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
March 2028

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 49% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 1%. Today's estimate: 1%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 0% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 1% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 1% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 16 tasks from .

TaskKind
Conduct research on the structures and properties of materials, such as metals, alloys, polymers, and ceramics, to obtain information that could be used to develop new products or enhance existing ones.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 10%2.1 work days6.7 h to 4.2 work daysStays with people
Perform experiments and computer modeling to study the nature, structure, and physical and chemical properties of metals and their alloys, and their responses to applied forces.Done more than weekly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.10%2.1 work days6.7 h to 1.3 work weeksStays with people
Research methods of processing, forming, and firing materials to develop such products as ceramic dental fillings, unbreakable dinner plates, and telescope lenses.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 10%2.5 work days6.7 h to 1.3 work weeks0%Half by Apr 2028
Determine ways to strengthen or combine materials or develop new materials with new or specific properties for use in a variety of products and applications.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 10%4.2 work days1.7 work days to 1.7 work weeks0%Half by Jul 2028
Plan laboratory experiments to confirm feasibility of processes and techniques used in the production of materials with special characteristics.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 9%1.7 work days5 h to 4.2 work days1%Half by Dec 2027
Test material samples for tolerance under tension, compression, and shear to determine the cause of metal failures.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 9%1.3 work days3.3 h to 3.1 work daysStays with people
Devise testing methods to evaluate the effects of various conditions on particular materials.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 7%1.3 work days3.3 h to 3.1 work days3%Half by Oct 2027
Test metals to determine conformance to specifications of mechanical strength, strength-weight ratio, ductility, magnetic and electrical properties, and resistance to abrasion, corrosion, heat, and cold.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 6%6.7 h2.5 h to 1.7 work daysStays with people
Write research papers for publication in scientific journals.Done yearly or less by most who do it. 5%4.2 work days1.7 work days to 2.1 work weeks0%Half by Aug 2028
Test individual parts and products to ensure that manufacturer and governmental quality and safety standards are met.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 5%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.1 work daysStays with people
Supervise and monitor production processes to ensure efficient use of equipment, timely changes to specifications, and project completion within time frame and budget.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 5%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.1 work daysStays with people
Prepare reports, manuscripts, proposals, and technical manuals for use by other scientists and requestors, such as sponsors and customers.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.5%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days8%Half by Sep 2027

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.