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Chemical Engineers

Design chemical plant equipment and devise processes for manufacturing chemicals and products, such as gasoline, synthetic rubber, plastics, detergents, cement, paper, and pulp, by applying principles and technology of chemistry, physics, and engineering.

21,070 people do this job in the US. $125,040 a year.

now
4%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 83%
  • 0%
  • 17%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
October 2028

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 83% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 3%. Today's estimate: 4%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 0% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 3% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 4% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 14 tasks from .

TaskKind
Conduct research to develop new and improved chemical manufacturing processes.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 15%3.3 work weeks4.2 work days to 2.4 work months0%Half by Dec 2029
Evaluate chemical equipment and processes to identify ways to optimize performance or to ensure compliance with safety and environmental regulations.Done daily by most who do it. 14%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days2%Half by Feb 2028
Develop processes to separate components of liquids or gases or generate electrical currents, using controlled chemical processes.Done yearly or less by most who do it. 12%1.7 work weeks2.5 work days to 4.2 work weeks0%Half by Apr 2029
Perform tests and monitor performance of processes throughout stages of production to determine degree of control over variables such as temperature, density, specific gravity, and pressure.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 9%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.1 work daysStays with people
Design measurement and control systems for chemical plants based on data collected in laboratory experiments and in pilot plant operations.Done yearly or less by most who do it. 8%1.7 work weeks1.7 work days to 4.2 work weeks0%Half by Jun 2029
Develop computer models of chemical processes.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 8%4.2 work days6.7 h to 3.3 work weeks0%Half by Apr 2029
Monitor and analyze data from processes and experiments.Done daily by most who do it. 8%2.5 h50 min to 1 work day40%Half by Dec 2026
Perform laboratory studies of steps in manufacture of new products and test proposed processes in small-scale operation, such as a pilot plant.Done yearly or less by most who do it. 7%4.2 work days6.7 h to 3.3 work weeksStays with people
Design and plan layout of equipment.Done yearly or less by most who do it. 6%3.3 work days6.7 h to 1.7 work weeks0%Half by Sep 2028
Troubleshoot problems with chemical manufacturing processes.Done daily by most who do it. 5%5 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days14%Half by Jul 2027
Develop safety procedures to be employed by workers operating equipment or working in close proximity to ongoing chemical reactions.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 4%1.7 work days3.3 h to 3.3 work days1%Half by Jan 2028
Determine most effective arrangement of operations such as mixing, crushing, heat transfer, distillation, and drying.Done yearly or less by most who do it. 2%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days2%Half by Feb 2028

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.