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Chemists

Conduct qualitative and quantitative chemical analyses or experiments in laboratories for quality or process control or to develop new products or knowledge.

82,770 people do this job in the US. $91,240 a year.

now
10%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 64%
  • 9%
  • 27%
26%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
August 2027

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 64% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 6%. Today's estimate: 10%.

0%5%10%15%20%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 1% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 6% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 10% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 12 tasks from .

TaskKind
Develop, improve, or customize products, equipment, formulas, processes, or analytical methods.Done daily by most who do it. 29%2.1 work days6.7 h to 1.7 work weeks1%Half by Apr 2028
Write technical papers or reports or prepare standards and specifications for processes, facilities, products, or tests.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 14%6.7 h2.5 h to 2.5 work days9%Half by Jul 2027
Compile and analyze test information to determine process or equipment operating efficiency or to diagnose malfunctions.Done daily by most who do it. 14%3.3 h1.7 h to 1 work day43%Half by Oct 2026
Analyze organic or inorganic compounds to determine chemical or physical properties, composition, structure, relationships, or reactions, using chromatography, spectroscopy, or spectrophotometry techniques.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.11%3.3 h50 min to 1.3 work daysStays with people
Evaluate laboratory safety procedures to ensure compliance with standards or to make improvements as needed.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 7%3.3 h1.7 h to 1.7 work days32%Half by Jan 2027
Induce changes in composition of substances by introducing heat, light, energy, or chemical catalysts for quantitative or qualitative analysis.Done daily by most who do it. 6%2.5 h50 min to 1 work dayStays with people
Direct, coordinate, or advise personnel in test procedures for analyzing components or physical properties of materials.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 5%1.7 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Confer with scientists or engineers to conduct analyses of research projects, interpret test results, or develop nonstandard tests.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.4%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Conduct quality control tests.Done daily by most who do it. 4%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Maintain laboratory instruments to ensure proper working order and troubleshoot malfunctions when needed.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 3%1.7 h25 min to 5 hStays with people
Prepare test solutions, compounds, or reagents for laboratory personnel to conduct tests.Done daily by most who do it. 2%50 min25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Purchase laboratory supplies, such as chemicals, when supplies are low or near their expiration date.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 0.5%38 min17 min to 1.7 h98%Half by now

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.