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Hoist and Winch Operators

Operate or tend hoists or winches to lift and pull loads using power-operated cable equipment.

2,600 people do this job in the US. $56,450 a year.

now
0%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 0%
  • 0%
  • 100%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
No desk work

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 0% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 0%. Today's estimate: 0%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 0% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 0% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 0% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 13 tasks from .

TaskKind
Repair, maintain, and adjust equipment, using hand tools.Done several times a day by most who do it. 25%1.3 h25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Move or reposition hoists, winches, loads and materials, manually or using equipment and machines such as trucks, cars, and hand trucks.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 10%29 min13 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Observe equipment gauges and indicators and hand signals of other workers to verify load positions or depths.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 10%13 min4 min to 25 minStays with people
Operate compressed air, diesel, electric, gasoline, or steam-driven hoists or winches to control movement of cableways, cages, derricks, draglines, loaders, railcars, or skips.Done daily by most who do it.9%25 min8 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Start engines of hoists or winches and use levers and pedals to wind or unwind cable on drums.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 8%13 min4 min to 25 minStays with people
Move levers, pedals, and throttles to stop, start, and regulate speeds of hoist or winch drums in response to hand, bell, buzzer, telephone, loud-speaker, or whistle signals, or by observing dial indicators or cable marks.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 8%17 min4 min to 50 minStays with people
Tend auxiliary equipment, such as jacks, slings, cables, or stop blocks, to facilitate moving items or materials for further processing.Done daily by most who do it. 6%21 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Climb ladders to position and set up vehicle-mounted derricks.Done several times a day by most who do it.6%33 min13 min to 1.1 hStays with people
Signal and assist other workers loading or unloading materials.Done daily by most who do it. 6%13 min4 min to 33 minStays with people
Select loads or materials according to weight and size specifications.Done daily by most who do it. 5%13 min4 min to 38 minStays with people
Attach, fasten, and disconnect cables or lines to loads, materials, and equipment, using hand tools.Done several times a day by most who do it. 3%15 min4 min to 33 minStays with people
Apply hand or foot brakes and move levers to lock hoists or winches.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 2%3 min2 min to 8 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).