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Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines

Diagnose, adjust, repair, or overhaul mobile mechanical, hydraulic, and pneumatic equipment, such as cranes, bulldozers, graders, and conveyors, used in construction, logging, and mining.

176,600 people do this job in the US. $65,510 a year.

now
5%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 5%
  • 0%
  • 95%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 5% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 4%. Today's estimate: 5%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 1% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 2% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 2% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 2% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 2% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 4% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 5% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 20 tasks from .

TaskKind
Adjust, maintain, and repair or replace subassemblies, such as transmissions and crawler heads, using hand tools, jacks, and cranes.Done daily by most who do it. 15%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.1 work daysStays with people
Overhaul and test machines or equipment to ensure operating efficiency.Done daily by most who do it. 15%1.7 work days3.3 h to 1 work weekStays with people
Repair and replace damaged or worn parts.Done daily by most who do it. 14%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Dismantle and reassemble heavy equipment using hoists and hand tools.Done daily by most who do it. 11%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work daysStays with people
Test mechanical products and equipment after repair or assembly to ensure proper performance and compliance with manufacturers' specifications.Done daily by most who do it. 7%1.7 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Operate and inspect machines or heavy equipment to diagnose defects.Done daily by most who do it. 5%1.3 h25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Repair, rewire, and troubleshoot electrical systems.Done daily by most who do it. 4%2.5 h50 min to 5 hStays with people
Fabricate needed parts or items from sheet metal.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%2.5 h50 min to 5 hStays with people
Diagnose faults or malfunctions to determine required repairs, using engine diagnostic equipment such as computerized test equipment and calibration devices.Done daily by most who do it. 3%1.7 h38 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Assemble gear systems, and align frames and gears.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%3.3 h1.3 h to 1 work dayStays with people
Fit bearings to adjust, repair, or overhaul mobile mechanical, hydraulic, and pneumatic equipment.Done daily by most who do it. 3%2.5 h50 min to 5 hStays with people
Research, order, and maintain parts inventory for services and repairs.Done daily by most who do it. 2%1.3 h25 min to 2.5 h87%Half by now

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.