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Industrial Machinery Mechanics

Repair, install, adjust, or maintain industrial production and processing machinery or refinery and pipeline distribution systems. May also install, dismantle, or move machinery and heavy equipment according to plans.

439,640 people do this job in the US. $64,520 a year.

now
15%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 17%
  • 0%
  • 83%
2%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 17% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 14%. Today's estimate: 15%.

0%5%10%15%20%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 2% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 3% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 4% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 4% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 6% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 6% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 14% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 15% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 16 tasks from .

TaskKind
Repair or maintain the operating condition of industrial production or processing machinery or equipment.Done daily by most who do it. 29%4.2 h1.7 h to 6.7 hStays with people
Disassemble machinery or equipment to remove parts and make repairs.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 10%2.1 h38 min to 4.2 hStays with people
Repair or replace broken or malfunctioning components of machinery or equipment.Done daily by most who do it. 10%2.5 h50 min to 5 hStays with people
Analyze test results, machine error messages, or information obtained from operators to diagnose equipment problems.Done daily by most who do it. 9%1.3 h25 min to 2.5 h87%Half by now
Clean, lubricate, or adjust parts, equipment, or machinery.Done daily by most who do it. 8%1.3 h25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Observe and test the operation of machinery or equipment to diagnose malfunctions, using voltmeters or other testing devices.Done several times a day by most who do it. 7%1.7 h38 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Reassemble equipment after completion of inspections, testing, or repairs.Done daily by most who do it. 7%1.7 h38 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Cut and weld metal to repair broken metal parts, fabricate new parts, or assemble new equipment.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 5%2.5 h50 min to 5 hStays with people
Examine parts for defects, such as breakage or excessive wear.Done daily by most who do it. 4%50 min17 min to 2.1 hStays with people
Record parts or materials used and order or requisition new parts or materials, as necessary.Done daily by most who do it. 3%38 min13 min to 1.3 h98%Half by now
Operate newly repaired machinery or equipment to verify the adequacy of repairs.Done daily by most who do it. 3%50 min17 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Enter codes and instructions to program computer-controlled machinery.Done more than monthly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.2%50 min17 min to 2.5 h87%Half by now

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.