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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
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Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists

Provide beauty services, such as cutting, coloring, and styling hair, and massaging and treating scalp. May shampoo hair, apply makeup, dress wigs, remove hair, and provide nail and skincare services.

305,710 people do this job in the US. $35,790 a year.

now
3%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 3%
  • 0%
  • 97%
3%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 3% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 3%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 3%. Today's estimate: 3%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 1% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 1% within reacho1, December 2024: 2% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 3% within reacho3, April 2025: 3% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 3% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 3% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 3% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 3% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 3% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 3% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 3% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 20 tasks from .

TaskKind
Bleach, dye, or tint hair, using applicator or brush.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 22%1.1 h25 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Cut, trim and shape hair or hairpieces, based on customers' instructions, hair type, and facial features, using clippers, scissors, trimmers and razors.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 13%38 min17 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Develop new styles and techniques.Done daily by most who do it. 11%1.7 h50 min to 4.2 hStays with people
Apply water or setting, straightening or waving solutions to hair, and use curlers, rollers, hot combs and curling irons to press and curl hair.Done daily by most who do it. 10%42 min25 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Shampoo, rinse, condition, and dry hair and scalp or hairpieces with water, liquid soap, or other solutions.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 7%17 min8 min to 33 minStays with people
Train or supervise other hairstylists, hairdressers, and assistants.Done more than yearly by most who do it.5%50 min25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Analyze patrons' hair and other physical features to determine and recommend beauty treatment or suggest hair styles.Done daily by most who do it. 4%13 min8 min to 21 minStays with people
Keep work stations clean and sanitize tools, such as scissors and combs.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 4%8 min4 min to 21 minStays with people
Comb, brush, and spray hair or wigs to set style.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 4%13 min8 min to 29 minStays with people
Order, display, and maintain supplies.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%38 min17 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Demonstrate and sell hair care products and cosmetics.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 3%10 min4 min to 17 minStays with people
Massage and treat scalp for hygienic and remedial purposes, using hands, fingers, or vibrating equipment.Done daily by most who do it. 3%17 min8 min to 33 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).