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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
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Barbers

Provide barbering services, such as cutting, trimming, shampooing, and styling hair; trimming beards; or giving shaves.

15,000 people do this job in the US. $38,210 a year.

now
23%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 28%
  • 2%
  • 70%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 28% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 8%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 21%. Today's estimate: 23%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 3% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 3% within reacho1, December 2024: 6% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 8% within reacho3, April 2025: 11% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 12% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 13% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 13% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 14% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 14% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 21% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 23% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 20 tasks from .

TaskKind
Cut and trim hair according to clients' instructions or current hairstyles, using clippers, combs, hand-held blow driers, and scissors.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 21%25 min17 min to 50 minStays with people
Perform clerical and administrative duties such as keeping records, paying bills, and hiring and supervising personnel.Done daily by most who do it. 13%1.7 h25 min to 3.3 h65%Half by now
Clean and sterilize scissors, combs, clippers, and other instruments.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 11%13 min8 min to 21 minStays with people
Apply lather and shave beards or neck and temple hair contours, using razors.Done several times a day by most who do it. 8%17 min8 min to 29 minStays with people
Curl, color, or straighten hair, using special chemical solutions and equipment.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 6%50 min33 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Clean work stations and sweep floors.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 6%8 min4 min to 17 minStays with people
Shape and trim beards and moustaches, using scissors.Done several times a day by most who do it. 6%13 min7 min to 25 minStays with people
Stay informed of the latest styles and hair care techniques.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%38 min13 min to 1.7 h95%Half by now
Question patrons regarding desired services and haircut styles.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 3%4 min3 min to 8 min100%Half by now
Shampoo hair.Done several times a day by most who do it. 3%8 min4 min to 13 minStays with people
Record services provided on cashiers' tickets or receive payment from customers.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 3%4 min2 min to 7 min100%Half by now
Provide face, neck, and scalp massages.Done daily by most who do it. 3%13 min4 min to 21 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).