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Financial Risk Specialists

Analyze and measure exposure to credit and market risk threatening the assets, earning capacity, or economic state of an organization. May make recommendations to limit risk.

63,850 people do this job in the US. $117,330 a year.

now
9%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 98%
  • 2%
  • 0%
26%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
November 2027

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 98% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 5%. Today's estimate: 9%.

0%5%10%15%20%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 1% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 5% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 9% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 30 tasks from .

TaskKind
Develop or implement risk-assessment models or methodologies. AI observed on this task.10%2.5 work days6.7 h to 1.7 work weeks0%Half by Jun 2028
Contribute to development of risk management systems.7%1.7 work days6.7 h to 1.3 work weeks1%Half by Jan 2028
Develop contingency plans to deal with emergencies.7%1.7 work days3.3 h to 1.3 work weeks2%Half by May 2028
Devise systems or processes to monitor validity of risk assessments.7%1.7 work days3.3 h to 1.3 work weeks2%Half by May 2028
Conduct statistical analyses to quantify risk, using statistical analysis software or econometric models.5%1.3 work days2.5 h to 4.2 work days3%Half by Feb 2028
Determine potential environmental impacts of new products or processes on long-term growth and profitability.5%1.3 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days4%Half by Dec 2027
Devise scenario analyses reflecting possible severe market events.5%1.3 work days2.5 h to 4.2 work days3%Half by Feb 2028
Evaluate the risks and benefits involved in implementing green building technologies.5%1.3 work days3.3 h to 3.8 work days4%Half by Nov 2027
Identify key risks and mitigating factors of potential investments, such as asset types and values, legal and ownership structures, professional reputations, customer bases, or industry segments.5%1.3 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days4%Half by Dec 2027
Inform financial decisions by analyzing financial information to forecast business, industry, or economic conditions. AI observed on this task.5%1.3 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days4%Half by Dec 2027
Evaluate the risks related to green investments, such as renewable energy company stocks.4%1 work day2.5 h to 3.1 work days5%Half by Oct 2027
Analyze areas of potential risk to the assets, earning capacity, or success of organizations.3%6.7 h3.3 h to 1.7 work days10%Half by Apr 2027

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.