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Exercise Physiologists

Assess, plan, or implement fitness programs that include exercise or physical activities such as those designed to improve cardiorespiratory function, body composition, muscular strength, muscular endurance, or flexibility.

8,560 people do this job in the US. $59,460 a year.

now
29%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 50%
  • 15%
  • 35%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 50% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 26%. Today's estimate: 29%.

0%10%20%30%40%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 1% within reacho3, April 2025: 4% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 5% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 8% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 8% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 11% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 11% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 26% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 29% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 25 tasks from .

TaskKind
Plan or conduct exercise physiology research projects.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 18%4.2 work days6.7 h to 3.5 work weeks0%Half by Apr 2029
Develop exercise programs to improve participant strength, flexibility, endurance, or circulatory functioning, in accordance with exercise science standards, regulatory requirements, and credentialing requirements.Done several times a day by most who do it. 11%1.7 h38 min to 3.3 h80%Half by now
Provide clinical oversight of exercise for participants at all risk levels.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 10%50 min25 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Prescribe individualized exercise programs, specifying equipment, such as treadmill, exercise bicycle, ergometers, or perceptual goggles.Done several times a day by most who do it. 7%1.1 h25 min to 2.1 h95%Half by now
Assess physical performance requirements to aid in the development of individualized recovery or rehabilitation exercise programs.Done daily by most who do it. 7%1.3 h38 min to 2.5 h97%Half by now
Conduct stress tests, using electrocardiograph (EKG) machines.Done several times a day by most who do it. 6%1.1 h38 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Teach courses or seminars related to exercise or diet for patients, athletes, or community groups.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 5%2.1 h50 min to 4.2 hStays with people
Teach group exercise for low-, medium-, or high-risk clients to improve participant strength, flexibility, endurance, or circulatory functioning.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 5%1.1 h38 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Teach behavior modification classes related to topics such as stress management or weight control.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 4%1.3 h38 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Interview participants to obtain medical history or assess participant goals.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 3%33 min17 min to 50 minStays with people
Mentor or train staff to lead group exercise.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 3%1.3 h38 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Demonstrate correct use of exercise equipment or performance of exercise routines.Done several times a day by most who do it. 3%17 min8 min to 38 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).