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Emergency Management Directors

Plan and direct disaster response or crisis management activities, provide disaster preparedness training, and prepare emergency plans and procedures for natural (e.g., hurricanes, floods, earthquakes), wartime, or technological (e.g., nuclear power plant emergencies or hazardous materials spills) disasters or hostage situations.

13,500 people do this job in the US. $93,330 a year.

now
20%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 77%
  • 19%
  • 4%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
June 2027

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 77% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 14%. Today's estimate: 20%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 1% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 2% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 2% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 3% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 3% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 14% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 20% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 23 tasks from .

TaskKind
Prepare emergency situation status reports that describe response and recovery efforts, needs, and preliminary damage assessments.Done daily by most who do it. 16%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h46%Half by Oct 2026
Collaborate with other officials to prepare and analyze damage assessments following disasters or emergencies.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 13%5 h1.7 h to 2.1 work daysStays with people
Coordinate disaster response or crisis management activities, such as ordering evacuations, opening public shelters, and implementing special needs plans and programs.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 10%3.3 h1.7 h to 1.7 work days32%Half by Jan 2027
Prepare plans that outline operating procedures to be used in response to disasters or emergencies, such as hurricanes, nuclear accidents, and terrorist attacks, and in recovery from these events.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 10%4.2 work days6.7 h to 3.3 work weeks0%Half by Apr 2029
Design and administer emergency or disaster preparedness training courses that teach people how to effectively respond to major emergencies and disasters.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 6%2.1 work days3.3 h to 1.7 work weeks1%Half by Sep 2028
Develop instructional materials for the public and make presentations to citizens' groups to provide information on emergency plans and their implementation processes.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 4%6.7 h2.5 h to 2.1 work days10%Half by Jun 2027
Apply for federal funding for emergency-management-related needs, and administer and report on the progress of such grants.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 4%4.2 work days6.7 h to 2.5 work weeks0%Half by Jan 2029
Keep informed of federal, state, and local regulations affecting emergency plans, and ensure that plans adhere to those regulations.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 4%3.3 h50 min to 1.3 work days25%Half by Mar 2027
Develop and maintain liaisons with municipalities, county departments, and similar entities to facilitate plan development, response effort coordination, and exchanges of personnel and equipment.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%1.7 h50 min to 5 h76%Half by now
Attend meetings, conferences, and workshops related to emergency management to learn new information and to develop working relationships with other emergency management specialists.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 4%5 h1.3 h to 1.7 work days14%Half by Jun 2027
Consult with officials of local and area governments, schools, hospitals, and other institutions to determine their needs and capabilities in the event of a natural disaster or other emergency.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 4%2.5 h50 min to 5 hStays with people
Keep informed of activities or changes that could affect the likelihood of an emergency, response efforts, or plan implementation.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 4%50 min25 min to 2.5 h95%Half by now

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.