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Security Managers

Direct an organization's security functions, including physical security and safety of employees and facilities.

$106,660 a year (for the broader BLS group this job sits in).

now
9%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 57%
  • 37%
  • 7%
13%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
August 2027

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 57% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 6%. Today's estimate: 9%.

0%5%10%15%20%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 1% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 6% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 9% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 28 tasks from .

TaskKind
Plan, direct, or coordinate security activities to safeguard company employees, guests, or others on company property.Done daily by most who do it. 18%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.1 work daysStays with people
Direct or participate in emergency management and contingency planning.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 11%1 work day3.3 h to 3.1 work daysStays with people
Develop, recommend, or manage security procedures for operations or processes, such as security call centers, access control, and reporting tools.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 8%1 work day2.5 h to 3.1 work days5%Half by Oct 2027
Analyze and evaluate security operations to identify risks or opportunities for improvement through auditing, review, or assessment.Done more than weekly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.7%1.3 work days3.3 h to 3.1 work days3%Half by Oct 2027
Supervise or provide leadership to subordinate security professionals, performing activities such as hiring, investigating applicants' backgrounds, training, assigning work, evaluating performance, or disciplining.Done daily by most who do it. 6%3.3 h50 min to 1 work dayStays with people
Monitor security policies, programs or procedures to ensure compliance with internal security policies, or applicable government security requirements, policies, and directives.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%3.3 h1.3 h to 1.7 work days27%Half by Mar 2027
Identify, investigate, or resolve security breaches.Done more than weekly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.4%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days8%Half by Sep 2027
Assess risks to mitigate potential consequences of incidents and develop a plan to respond to incidents.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.4%1.3 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days4%Half by Dec 2027
Develop or manage investigation programs, including collection and preservation of video and notes of surveillance processes or investigative interviews.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 4%1 work day2.5 h to 3.1 work days5%Half by Oct 2027
Write or review security-related documents, such as incident reports, proposals, and tactical or strategic initiatives.Done more than weekly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.4%2.5 h38 min to 1 work day33%Half by Jan 2027
Create or implement security standards, policies, and procedures.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 3%1 work day2.5 h to 4.2 work days5%Half by Dec 2027
Conduct threat or vulnerability analyses to determine probable frequency, criticality, consequence, or severity of natural or man-made disasters or criminal activity on the organization's profitability or delivery of products or services.Done more than monthly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.3%2.1 work days5 h to 1.7 work weeks1%Half by Jun 2028

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.