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Customs and Border Protection Officers

Investigate and inspect persons, common carriers, goods, and merchandise, arriving in or departing from the United States or between states to detect violations of immigration and customs laws and regulations.

$76,210 a year (for the broader BLS group this job sits in).

now
20%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 39%
  • 0%
  • 61%
12%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 39% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 18%. Today's estimate: 20%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 1% within reacho3, April 2025: 4% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 6% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 9% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 9% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 10% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 11% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 18% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 20% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 11 tasks from .

TaskKind
Institute civil and criminal prosecutions and cooperate with other law enforcement agencies in the investigation and prosecution of those in violation of immigration or customs laws.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 20%5 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days14%Half by Jul 2027
Examine immigration applications, visas, and passports and interview persons to determine eligibility for admission, residence, and travel in the U.S.Done hourly or more by most who do it. AI observed on this task.17%38 min13 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Locate and seize contraband, undeclared merchandise, and vehicles, aircraft, or boats that contain such merchandise.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 15%2.5 h50 min to 1 work dayStays with people
Inspect cargo, baggage, and personal articles entering or leaving U.S. for compliance with revenue laws and U.S. customs regulations.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 14%38 min13 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Detain persons found to be in violation of customs or immigration laws and arrange for legal action, such as deportation.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 13%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Determine duty and taxes to be paid on goods.Done daily by most who do it. 7%38 min8 min to 1.7 h84%Half by now
Interpret and explain laws and regulations to travelers, prospective immigrants, shippers, and manufacturers.Done daily by most who do it. 5%21 min8 min to 50 min100%Half by now
Record and report job-related activities, findings, transactions, violations, discrepancies, and decisions.Done daily by most who do it. 5%33 min13 min to 1.3 h99%Half by now
Collect samples of merchandise for examination, appraisal, or testing.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 1%25 min8 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Investigate applications for duty refunds and petition for remission or mitigation of penalties when warranted.Done more than yearly by most who do it.0.6%2.1 h50 min to 5 h65%Half by now
Testify regarding decisions at immigration appeals or in federal court.Done yearly or less by most who do it. 0.5%2.5 h1.3 h to 6.7 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.