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Computer Numerically Controlled Tool Operators

Operate computer-controlled tools, machines, or robots to machine or process parts, tools, or other work pieces made of metal, plastic, wood, stone, or other materials. May also set up and maintain equipment.

169,450 people do this job in the US. $50,690 a year.

now
25%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 26%
  • 1%
  • 73%
2%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 26% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 24%. Today's estimate: 25%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 1% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 2% within reacho3, April 2025: 10% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 12% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 16% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 16% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 18% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 19% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 24% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 25% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 27 tasks from .

TaskKind
Set up and operate computer-controlled machines or robots to perform one or more machine functions on metal or plastic workpieces.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 17%50 min25 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Mount, install, align, and secure tools, attachments, fixtures, and workpieces on machines, using hand tools and precision measuring instruments.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 10%33 min13 min to 1.4 hStays with people
Review program specifications or blueprints to determine and set machine operations and sequencing, finished workpiece dimensions, or numerical control sequences.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 7%25 min8 min to 50 min100%Half by now
Maintain machines and remove and replace broken or worn machine tools, using hand tools.Done daily by most who do it. 6%38 min13 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Measure dimensions of finished workpieces to ensure conformance to specifications, using precision measuring instruments, templates, and fixtures.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 5%13 min4 min to 33 minStays with people
Write simple programs for computer-controlled machine tools.Done several times a day by most who do it. 5%50 min17 min to 2.5 h87%Half by now
Listen to machines during operation to detect sounds such as those made by dull cutting tools or excessive vibration, and adjust machines to compensate for problems.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 5%13 min4 min to 38 minStays with people
Set up future jobs while machines are operating.Done daily by most who do it. 5%38 min13 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Implement changes to machine programs, and enter new specifications, using computers.Done daily by most who do it. 5%21 min8 min to 50 min100%Half by now
Calculate machine speed and feed ratios and the size and position of cuts.Done several times a day by most who do it. 4%17 min8 min to 33 min100%Half by now
Adjust machine feed and speed, change cutting tools, or adjust machine controls when automatic programming is faulty or if machines malfunction.Done daily by most who do it. 3%17 min4 min to 50 minStays with people
Modify cutting programs to account for problems encountered during operation, and save modified programs.Done daily by most who do it. 3%25 min8 min to 1.1 h98%Half by now

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.