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Grinding, Lapping, Polishing, and Buffing Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

Set up, operate, or tend grinding and related tools that remove excess material or burrs from surfaces, sharpen edges or corners, or buff, hone, or polish metal or plastic work pieces.

67,000 people do this job in the US. $46,550 a year.

now
18%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 18%
  • 0%
  • 82%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 18% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 3%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 18%. Today's estimate: 18%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 1% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 3% within reacho3, April 2025: 10% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 12% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 15% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 15% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 16% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 16% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 18% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 18% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 18 tasks from .

TaskKind
Set up, operate, or tend grinding and related tools that remove excess material or burrs from surfaces, sharpen edges or corners, or buff, hone, or polish metal or plastic workpieces.Done daily by most who do it. 19%38 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Set and adjust machine controls according to product specifications, using knowledge of machine operation.Done daily by most who do it. 11%21 min8 min to 42 minStays with people
Repair or replace machine parts, using hand tools, or notify engineering personnel when corrective action is required.Done daily by most who do it. 11%38 min13 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Measure workpieces and lay out work, using precision measuring devices.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 7%13 min4 min to 29 minStays with people
Observe machine operations to detect any problems, making necessary adjustments to correct problems.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 7%13 min4 min to 38 minStays with people
Compute machine indexings and settings for specified dimensions and base reference points.Done daily by most who do it. 6%21 min8 min to 42 min100%Half by now
Maintain stocks of machine parts and machining tools.Done daily by most who do it.6%25 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Study blueprints, work orders, or machining instructions to determine product specifications, tool requirements, and operational sequences.Done daily by most who do it. 6%13 min4 min to 33 min100%Half by now
Select machine tooling to be used, using knowledge of machine and production requirements.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 6%13 min4 min to 25 min100%Half by now
Inspect or measure finished workpieces to determine conformance to specifications, using measuring instruments, such as gauges or micrometers.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 4%8 min3 min to 21 minStays with people
Mount and position tools in machine chucks, spindles, or other tool holding devices, using hand tools.Done daily by most who do it. 4%13 min4 min to 33 minStays with people
Lift and position workpieces, manually or with hoists, and secure them in hoppers or on machine tables, faceplates, or chucks, using clamps.Done daily by most who do it. 3%8 min3 min to 21 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.