Metro area, Nebraska
Lincoln, NE
182,620 people work in this area, at mean pay of $62,980 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 84 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 39%
- 17%
- 44%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 18% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 20%. Today's estimate: 23%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 46% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Customer Service Representatives | 2,540 | 64% | 3.4 million | $41K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 1,660 | 78% | 2.7 million | $48K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 2,890 | 43% | 2.6 million | $47K |
| Registered Nurses | 4,200 | 28% | 2.4 million | $88K |
| Office Clerks, General | 1,930 | 54% | 2.2 million | $38K |
| General and Operations Managers | 3,680 | 23% | 1.7 million | $93K |
| Retail Salespersons | 4,080 | 19% | 1.6 million | $31K |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 1,260 | 59% | 1.5 million | $37K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers | 1,850 | 35% | 1.3 million | $62K |
| Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers | 4,530 | 14% | 1.3 million | $82K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers | 1,520 | 40% | 1.3 million | $38K |
| Cashiers | 3,240 | 19% | 1.2 million | $31K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 435 smaller jobs (93,490 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 95% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Verify that all firm and regulatory policies and procedures have been documented, implemented, and communicated.Compliance Officers819,820 hours94% of the task within reach
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses703,699 hours60% of the task within reach
- Coordinate conferences, meetings, or special events, such as luncheons or graduation ceremonies.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive632,951 hours53% of the task within reach
- Use computers for various applications, such as database management or word processing.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive577,242 hours100% of the task within reach
- Obtain and examine all relevant information to assess validity of complaints and to determine possible causes, such as extreme weather conditions that could increase utility bills.Customer Service Representatives574,865 hours100% of the task within reach
- Prepare, examine, or analyze accounting records, financial statements, or other financial reports to assess accuracy, completeness, and conformance to reporting and procedural standards.Accountants and Auditors570,106 hours98% of the task within reach
- Operate computers programmed with accounting software to record, store, and analyze information.Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks539,845 hours100% of the task within reach
- Complete contract forms, prepare change of address records, or issue service discontinuance orders, using computers.Customer Service Representatives530,222 hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons494,375 hours50% of the task within reach
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General483,414 hours100% of the task within reach
Other areas in Nebraska
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Omaha, NE-IA498,100 people23% now, 37% by 2028
- South Nebraska nonmetropolitan area155,110 people21% now, 31% by 2028
- Northeast Nebraska nonmetropolitan area95,890 people21% now, 30% by 2028
- Grand Island, NE39,520 people22% now, 31% by 2028
- Northwest Nebraska nonmetropolitan area39,140 people22% now, 31% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works