Metro area, New Mexico
Las Cruces, NM
80,000 people work in this area, at mean pay of $54,880 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 32 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 34%
- 19%
- 47%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 17% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 19%. Today's estimate: 22%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 58% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 2,360 | 43% | 2.1 million | $41K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 1,480 | 64% | 2 million | $36K |
| Office Clerks, General | 1,000 | 54% | 1.1 million | $37K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 580 | 78% | 936,168 | $44K |
| Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants | 540 | 81% | 906,423 | $39K |
| Retail Salespersons | 2,110 | 19% | 851,427 | $30K |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 620 | 59% | 758,285 | $33K |
| Registered Nurses | 1,280 | 28% | 740,149 | $83K |
| Personal Care Aides | 3,215 | 10% | 641,971 | $28K |
| Cashiers | 1,630 | 19% | 627,224 | $29K |
| General and Operations Managers | 1,260 | 23% | 597,546 | $86K |
| Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education | 890 | 30% | 551,658 | $74K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 272 smaller jobs (30,520 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 90% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Coordinate conferences, meetings, or special events, such as luncheons or graduation ceremonies.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive516,873 hours53% of the task within reach
- Use computers for various applications, such as database management or word processing.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive471,381 hours100% of the task within reach
- Set up and manage paper or electronic filing systems, recording information, updating paperwork, or maintaining documents, such as attendance records, correspondence, or other material.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive379,914 hours70% of the task within reach
- Obtain and examine all relevant information to assess validity of complaints and to determine possible causes, such as extreme weather conditions that could increase utility bills.Customer Service Representatives334,961 hours100% of the task within reach
- Complete contract forms, prepare change of address records, or issue service discontinuance orders, using computers.Customer Service Representatives308,948 hours100% of the task within reach
- Create, maintain, and enter information into databases.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive293,298 hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain records of patient care, condition, progress, or problems to report and discuss observations with supervisor or case manager.Home Health Aides267,896 hours70% of the task within reach
- Prepare reports that detail investigation findings.Detectives and Criminal Investigators265,336 hours100% of the task within reach
- Operate electronic mail systems and coordinate the flow of information, internally or with other organizations.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive259,915 hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons255,670 hours50% of the task within reach
Other areas in New Mexico
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works