Metro area, Idaho
Idaho Falls, ID
81,840 people work in this area, at mean pay of $61,160 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 34 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 35%
- 18%
- 47%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 18% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 20%. Today's estimate: 23%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 55% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Customer Service Representatives | 1,710 | 64% | 2.3 million | $40K |
| Office Clerks, General | 1,670 | 54% | 1.9 million | $43K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 830 | 78% | 1.3 million | $47K |
| General and Operations Managers | 2,480 | 23% | 1.2 million | $80K |
| Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants | 600 | 81% | 1 million | $44K |
| Registered Nurses | 1,540 | 28% | 890,491 | $84K |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 720 | 59% | 880,589 | $35K |
| Retail Salespersons | 2,090 | 19% | 843,357 | $32K |
| Shipping, Receiving, and Inventory Clerks | 600 | 53% | 660,192 | $36K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 740 | 43% | 655,701 | $40K |
| Cashiers | 1,630 | 19% | 627,224 | $30K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers | 680 | 40% | 571,419 | $37K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 274 smaller jobs (32,660 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 89% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General418,291 hours100% of the task within reach
- Obtain and examine all relevant information to assess validity of complaints and to determine possible causes, such as extreme weather conditions that could increase utility bills.Customer Service Representatives387,015 hours100% of the task within reach
- Complete contract forms, prepare change of address records, or issue service discontinuance orders, using computers.Customer Service Representatives356,960 hours100% of the task within reach
- Direct and coordinate activities of businesses or departments concerned with the production, pricing, sales, or distribution of products.General and Operations Managers317,117 hours40% of the task within reach
- Set prices or credit terms for goods or services, based on forecasts of customer demand.General and Operations Managers303,170 hours100% of the task within reach
- Prepare staff work schedules and assign specific duties.General and Operations Managers285,651 hours80% of the task within reach
- Check to ensure that appropriate changes were made to resolve customers' problems.Customer Service Representatives275,239 hours80% of the task within reach
- Operate computers programmed with accounting software to record, store, and analyze information.Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks269,923 hours100% of the task within reach
- Establish or implement departmental policies, goals, objectives, or procedures in conjunction with board members, organization officials, or staff members.General and Operations Managers264,683 hours59% of the task within reach
- Keep records of customer interactions or transactions, recording details of inquiries, complaints, or comments, as well as actions taken.Customer Service Representatives258,224 hours100% of the task within reach
Other areas in Idaho
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Boise City, ID391,790 people23% now, 36% by 2028
- Southeast-Central Idaho nonmetropolitan area96,470 people21% now, 31% by 2028
- Northwestern Idaho nonmetropolitan area75,240 people21% now, 31% by 2028
- Coeur d'Alene, ID72,280 people22% now, 32% by 2028
- Twin Falls, ID50,300 people21% now, 30% by 2028
- Pocatello, ID38,290 people23% now, 33% by 2028
- Lewiston, ID-WA28,680 people22% now, 32% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works