Metro area, Alaska

Fairbanks-College, AK

36,430 people work in this area, at mean pay of $73,460 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.

now

22%

of the paid hours. Estimate.

$610M

a year: 13 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.

Kinds of work

of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 18% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.

Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.

Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030

Chosen to Ceiling: the share

DateNow

NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 20%. Today's estimate: 23%.

Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

Where the hours are

Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 55% of the people.

	People			Pay here
Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks	470	78%	758,618	$59K
Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive	630	43%	558,232	$48K
Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants	290	81%	486,783	$50K
Office Clerks, General	430	54%	485,659	$49K
Retail Salespersons	1,040	19%	419,661	$38K
First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers	540	35%	388,629	$74K
Medical Records Specialists	190	89%	352,123	$61K
Stockers and Order Fillers	840	19%	331,968	$41K
Customer Service Representatives	230	64%	308,090	$45K
General and Operations Managers	630	23%	298,773	$115K
Cashiers	670	19%	257,816	$37K
First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers	400	28%	234,625	$60K

People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 189 smaller jobs (12,920 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 78% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.

The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028

Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.

Operate computers programmed with accounting software to record, store, and analyze information.Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks
152,848 hours100% of the task within reach
Coordinate conferences, meetings, or special events, such as luncheons or graduation ceremonies.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive
137,979 hours53% of the task within reach
Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons
126,017 hours50% of the task within reach
Use computers for various applications, such as database management or word processing.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive
125,835 hours100% of the task within reach
Perform bookkeeping duties, such as credits or collections, preparing and sending financial statements or bills, and keeping financial records.Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants
116,164 hours100% of the task within reach
Develop or implement electronic maintenance programs or computer information management systems.First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers
109,428 hours96% of the task within reach
Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General
107,704 hours100% of the task within reach
Set up and manage paper or electronic filing systems, recording information, updating paperwork, or maintaining documents, such as attendance records, correspondence, or other material.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive
101,418 hours70% of the task within reach
Keep periodic balance sheets of amounts and numbers of transactions.Cashiers
98,514 hours100% of the task within reach
Protect the security of medical records to ensure that confidentiality is maintained.Medical Records Specialists
98,136 hours100% of the task within reach

Other areas in Alaska

Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works