Metro area, Massachusetts
Amherst Town-Northampton, MA
65,670 people work in this area, at mean pay of $70,730 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 27 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 40%
- 20%
- 40%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 18% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 20%. Today's estimate: 22%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 52% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Office Clerks, General | 1,400 | 54% | 1.6 million | $52K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 1,250 | 43% | 1.1 million | $51K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 760 | 64% | 1 million | $44K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 490 | 78% | 790,900 | $56K |
| General and Operations Managers | 1,600 | 23% | 758,789 | $98K |
| Retail Salespersons | 1,790 | 19% | 722,301 | $37K |
| Registered Nurses | 1,150 | 28% | 664,977 | $101K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers | 630 | 40% | 529,403 | $47K |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 410 | 59% | 501,446 | $42K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers | 650 | 35% | 467,794 | $68K |
| Cashiers | 1,210 | 19% | 465,608 | $35K |
| Stockers and Order Fillers | 1,110 | 19% | 438,672 | $37K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 263 smaller jobs (28,120 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 89% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General350,663 hours100% of the task within reach
- Coordinate conferences, meetings, or special events, such as luncheons or graduation ceremonies.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive273,768 hours53% of the task within reach
- Use computers for various applications, such as database management or word processing.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive249,672 hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons216,895 hours50% of the task within reach
- Direct and coordinate activities of businesses or departments concerned with the production, pricing, sales, or distribution of products.General and Operations Managers204,591 hours40% of the task within reach
- Set up and manage paper or electronic filing systems, recording information, updating paperwork, or maintaining documents, such as attendance records, correspondence, or other material.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive201,226 hours70% of the task within reach
- Collect and analyze data on customer demographics, preferences, needs, and buying habits to identify potential markets and factors affecting product demand.Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists199,419 hours90% of the task within reach
- Set prices or credit terms for goods or services, based on forecasts of customer demand.General and Operations Managers195,594 hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain and update filing, inventory, mailing, and database systems, either manually or using a computer.Office Clerks, General195,360 hours80% of the task within reach
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses192,679 hours60% of the task within reach
Other areas in Massachusetts
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH2,703,890 people22% now, 41% by 2028
- Worcester, MA349,880 people22% now, 36% by 2028
- Springfield, MA201,240 people22% now, 34% by 2028
- Barnstable Town, MA94,110 people21% now, 32% by 2028
- Pittsfield, MA56,810 people22% now, 34% by 2028
- Massachusetts nonmetropolitan area41,360 people22% now, 34% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works