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Technical Writers

Write technical materials, such as equipment manuals, appendices, or operating and maintenance instructions. May assist in layout work.

45,500 people do this job in the US. $90,390 a year.

now
30%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 85%
  • 2%
  • 12%
47%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
January 2027

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 85% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 21%. Today's estimate: 30%.

0%10%20%30%40%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 2% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 4% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 4% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 5% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 6% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 21% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 30% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 15 tasks from .

TaskKind
Organize material and complete writing assignment according to set standards regarding order, clarity, conciseness, style, and terminology.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.22%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days9%Half by Aug 2027
Edit, standardize, or make changes to material prepared by other writers or establishment personnel.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.15%2.5 h50 min to 1 work day40%Half by Dec 2026
Review published materials and recommend revisions or changes in scope, format, content, and methods of reproduction and binding.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.12%3.3 h1.3 h to 1 work day36%Half by Dec 2026
Study drawings, specifications, mockups, and product samples to integrate and delineate technology, operating procedure, and production sequence and detail.Done daily by most who do it.12%3.3 h1.3 h to 1.3 work daysStays with people
Develop or maintain online help documentation.Done more than monthly by most who do it.10%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days9%Half by Aug 2027
Assist in laying out material for publication.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.6%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h46%Half by Oct 2026
Maintain records and files of work and revisions.Done daily by most who do it. 6%38 min13 min to 1.7 h95%Half by now
Review manufacturer's and trade catalogs, drawings and other data relative to operation, maintenance, and service of equipment.Done more than yearly by most who do it.5%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h46%Half by Oct 2026
Arrange for typing, duplication, and distribution of material.Done daily by most who do it.3%50 min17 min to 2.5 h87%Half by now
Analyze developments in specific field to determine need for revisions in previously published materials and development of new material.Done more than monthly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.2%3.3 h1.7 h to 1.3 work days38%Half by Nov 2026
Select photographs, drawings, sketches, diagrams, and charts to illustrate material.Done more than weekly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.2%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 h77%Half by now
Confer with customer representatives, vendors, plant executives, or publisher to establish technical specifications and to determine subject material to be developed for publication.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 1%1.3 h38 min to 3.3 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.