Skip to content
STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
Menu

Refuse and Recyclable Material Collectors

Collect and dump refuse or recyclable materials from containers into truck. May drive truck.

147,240 people do this job in the US. $49,690 a year.

now
6%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 6%
  • 0%
  • 94%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 6% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 5%. Today's estimate: 6%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 1% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 1% within reacho1, December 2024: 1% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 2% within reacho3, April 2025: 3% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 3% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 3% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 3% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 3% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 3% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 5% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 6% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 14 tasks from .

TaskKind
Drive trucks, following established routes, through residential streets or alleys or through business or industrial areas.Done daily by most who do it. 68%5 h2.5 h to 6.7 hStays with people
Dump refuse or recyclable materials at disposal sites.Done daily by most who do it. 9%25 min13 min to 50 minStays with people
Make special pickups of recyclable materials, such as food scraps, used oil, discarded computers, or other electronic items.Done daily by most who do it.6%38 min13 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Organize schedules for refuse collection.Done daily by most who do it.3%1.7 h50 min to 3.3 h90%Half by now
Inspect trucks prior to beginning routes to ensure safe operating condition.Done daily by most who do it. 3%17 min8 min to 25 minStays with people
Clean trucks or compactor bodies after routes have been completed.Done daily by most who do it. 2%25 min17 min to 50 minStays with people
Refuel trucks or add other fluids, such as oil or brake fluid.Done daily by most who do it. 2%13 min8 min to 25 minStays with people
Operate equipment that compresses collected refuse.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 1%3 min1 min to 7 minStays with people
Dismount garbage trucks to collect garbage and remount trucks to ride to the next collection point.Done daily by most who do it. 1%3 min1 min to 7 minStays with people
Communicate with dispatchers concerning delays, unsafe sites, accidents, equipment breakdowns, or other maintenance problems.Done daily by most who do it. 1.0%4 min3 min to 13 min100%Half by now
Operate automated or semi-automated hoisting devices that raise refuse bins and dump contents into openings in truck bodies.Done daily by most who do it. 0.9%3 min1 min to 7 minStays with people
Fill out defective equipment reports.Done daily by most who do it. 0.9%8 min4 min to 17 min100%Half by now

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).